RSC Anderlecht — Hammarby IF: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.2% |
| 12 | 73.1% | |
| X2 | 55.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.2% / 44.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.6% / 7.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.1% / 23.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.9% / 49.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.9% / 71.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.9% / 86.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.8% / 94.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
RSC Anderlecht have a slight but meaningful edge over Hammarby IF in this UEFA Europa League qualifying tie. The assessment points towards a competitive match rather than a one-sided contest, with Anderlecht benefiting from home advantage while Hammarby remain capable of keeping the game close. The overall scoring outlook is medium-scoring, suggesting enough attacking threat for chances at both ends without indicating an especially open encounter.
The possibility of both teams scoring is finely balanced, so the match could develop in several directions. A draw remains a credible scenario, while Anderlecht have the stronger case if the home side can turn territorial control into clear opportunities. The most plausible scorelines are 1-1, 2-1 to RSC Anderlecht, and 1-0 to the hosts. Hammarby IF should therefore be expected to stay competitive, but the overall reading gives RSC Anderlecht the narrower advantage.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.