RSC Anderlecht — Hammarby IF: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 65.6% |
| 12 | 71.8% | |
| X2 | 62.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.8% / 40.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.7% / 7.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.9% / 20.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.9% / 45.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.5% / 67.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.5% / 83.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.2% / 92.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
RSC Anderlecht welcome Hammarby IF in a UEFA Europa League qualification match that looks relatively balanced, with a moderate lean towards the home side. RSC Anderlecht have the advantage of playing at home, but the assessment points to only a slight edge rather than a decisive gap between the teams. Hammarby IF remain capable of competing closely, making a draw a realistic part of the match outlook.
The game is expected to fall into a medium-scoring range, while the possibility of both teams finding the net is evenly balanced. The most plausible scorelines indicate a tight contest, with 1:1, 2:1 and 1:0 all fitting the overall picture. That suggests a match likely to be decided by small margins, with RSC Anderlecht marginally better placed but Hammarby IF well within contention.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg qualification result
The first leg of the UEFA Europa League second qualifying round tie between Hammarby IF and RSC Anderlecht, played on July 23, 2026, in Stockholm, ended in a 1-1 draw.
Hammarby's recent domestic match
Ahead of the Europa League return leg, Hammarby played a Swedish top-flight match on July 26, 2026, drawing 1-1 against Brommapojkarna.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.