FC Hradec Kralove — Tromsoe IL: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 53.8% |
| 12 | 74.5% | |
| X2 | 71.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.0% / 7.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.5% / 25.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 49.8% / 50.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.8% / 72.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.2% / 86.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.4% / 94.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Hradec Kralove face Tromsoe IL in a qualification tie that looks relatively balanced, although the visitors hold a slight edge. The confidence in that assessment is moderate, so the matchup does not point to a clearly one-sided contest. Hradec Kralove should have enough threat to remain competitive, while Tromsoe IL appear marginally better placed in the overall outcome assessment.
The game is projected to have a medium-scoring profile, with the most likely scenarios including a 1-1 draw, a narrow 0-1 Tromsoe IL win, or a 1-2 away victory. That range suggests a match where small details could decide the result rather than one dominated by either side. The expectation that both teams score is essentially even, making that market difficult to separate. Overall, Tromsoe IL have the slight advantage, but FC Hradec Kralove remain capable of keeping the tie close.
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Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.