FC Hradec Kralove — Tromsoe IL: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 53.9% |
| 12 | 75.4% | |
| X2 | 70.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.5% / 6.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.3% / 25.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.0% / 72.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.3% / 86.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.5% / 94.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Hradec Kralove host Tromsoe IL in a UEFA Europa League qualification match that looks finely balanced but gives the visitors a slight edge. The available assessment points towards a moderate level of confidence rather than a decisive expectation, with Tromsoe IL appearing better positioned to avoid defeat. FC Hradec Kralove will have home advantage, but the overall signal favours the visitors in a close contest.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, suggesting neither a heavily defensive nor an especially open game. Both teams scoring remains difficult to separate, so there is no clear indication that one side will keep the other quiet. A draw is a realistic possibility, while Tromsoe IL also has a credible route to victory. The most coherent reading is therefore a competitive match in which FC Hradec Kralove can remain involved, but Tromsoe IL holds the marginal advantage.
What matters before kick-off
First leg result
FC Hradec Kralove secured a 1-0 victory over Norwegian side Tromso IL in the first leg of their UEFA Europa League second qualifying round tie thanks to an 85th-minute goal by Mick van Buren.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.