PAOK Thessaloniki — FC Dynamo Kyiv: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 75.5% |
| 12 | 75.5% | |
| X2 | 49.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.9% / 45.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.7% / 6.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.2% / 22.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.9% / 69.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.3% / 84.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.5% / 93.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
PAOK Thessaloniki hold a narrow but credible advantage over FC Dynamo Kyiv in this UEFA Europa League qualification tie. The assessment points toward the hosts being better placed, although the gap is not large enough to make this a one-sided contest. The overall expectation is for a medium-scoring match, suggesting a game with attacking opportunities without necessarily developing into an open shootout.
The scoring outlook remains balanced: both teams scoring is described as a coin flip, so either side could find the net, but there is no clear indication that both will do so. The most likely scorelines are 1:0, 1:1 and 2:0, which reflect a match potentially decided by small margins. PAOK Thessaloniki therefore have the stronger position in the forecast, while FC Dynamo Kyiv remain capable of keeping the tie level, particularly if they manage to limit the hosts' chances.
What matters before kick-off
First Leg Result
PAOK secured a 3-2 victory away against Dynamo Kyiv in the first leg of the UEFA Europa League second qualifying round.
Shola Shoretire Injury Doubt
PAOK winger Shola Shoretire is nursing a knee injury and remains a doubt for the second leg against Dynamo Kyiv.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.