Ferencvarosi Budapest — FC Twente Enschede: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 55.8% |
| 12 | 75.5% | |
| X2 | 68.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.1% / 33.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.5% / 4.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.3% / 14.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.5% / 35.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.5% / 57.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.2% / 75.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.0% / 88.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Ferencvarosi Budapest and FC Twente Enschede look evenly matched ahead of their UEFA Europa League qualifying meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a decisive advantage, so the match may be shaped by small details rather than a clear difference in overall strength. With moderate confidence in the outlook, a cautious approach is appropriate when assessing the likely direction of the game.
The scoring profile points towards a medium-scoring contest, with both teams likely to find the net. That suggests an open enough match to produce chances at both ends, although the available likely outcomes remain closely grouped rather than pointing to a dominant performance. A draw or a narrow result for FC Twente Enschede fits the overall assessment, while Ferencvarosi Budapest should still have a realistic opportunity to make the contest competitive on home territory.
What matters before kick-off
Ferencváros secured a 2-1 first-leg win over FC Twente
On July 23, 2026, Ferencváros claimed a 2-1 away victory over FC Twente in Enschede behind two goals from Lenny Joseph, taking an aggregate advantage into the second leg of the UEFA Europa League second qualifying round.
Second leg between Ferencváros and FC Twente hosted in Budapest
The second leg of the 2026/27 UEFA Europa League second qualifying round tie takes place on July 30, 2026, at the Groupama Aréna in Budapest.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.