Real Sociedad San Sebastian — RC Deportivo de A Coruna: Win probabilities, 11.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.5% |
| 12 | 76.8% | |
| X2 | 39.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.6% / 44.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.4% / 18.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.0% / 42.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.6% / 64.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.7% / 81.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.5% / 91.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.10.2026
Real Sociedad San Sebastian
8th place · 10 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Valencia 3:2
- 13.09.2026 home Ath Madrid 0:3
- 07.09.2026 away Elche 3:2
- 03.09.2026 home Celta 0:0
- 29.08.2026 home Espanol 2:1
RC Deportivo de A Coruna
7th place · 10 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Betis 1:1
- 16.09.2026 home Sevilla 0:1
- 13.09.2026 away Getafe 1:1
- 05.09.2026 away Villarreal 3:2
- 30.08.2026 home Valencia 3:1
This season: Real Sociedad San Sebastian at home vs RC Deportivo de A Coruna away
| Metric | Real Sociedad San Sebastian · at home | RC Deportivo de A Coruna · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–1 | 1–2–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| xG for per match | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| xG against per match | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| Corners per match | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
available assessment. The hosts are considered the stronger side, although the confidence level remains moderate rather than decisive. Playing at home supports their position in the matchup, but the overall outlook still leaves room for a competitive contest. The key expectation is that Real Sociedad San Sebastian will have the better opportunity to control the game and turn their advantage into a positive result.
The scoring outlook points toward a moderately productive match, with several plausible scenarios. A controlled home performance resulting in a 2-0 win or a more open 2-1 contest are both consistent with the assessment, while a 1-1 draw remains a credible alternative. Whether both teams find the net is difficult to separate, making that aspect of the match relatively balanced. RC Deportivo de A Coruna will therefore retain a realistic opportunity to challenge the hosts, particularly if the game remains close. Overall, Real Sociedad San Sebastian have the stronger outlook, but the moderate confidence level suggests that the final result should not be treated as predetermined.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
