Real Betis Seville — CA Osasuna: Win probabilities, 11.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 86.2% |
| 12 | 78.8% | |
| X2 | 34.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.2% / 44.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.6% / 5.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.2% / 16.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.8% / 39.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.5% / 61.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.9% / 79.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.9% / 90.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.10.2026
Real Betis Seville
3rd place · 16 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away La Coruna 1:1
- 17.09.2026 home Getafe 1:0
- 14.09.2026 away Villarreal 2:1
- 04.09.2026 home Real Madrid 1:0
- 29.08.2026 away Levante 2:5
CA Osasuna
9th place · 9 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Vallecano 1:1
- 16.09.2026 away Ath Madrid 0:4
- 12.09.2026 home Espanol 0:2
- 06.09.2026 away Alaves 2:5
- 31.08.2026 home Getafe 1:0
This season: Real Betis Seville at home vs CA Osasuna away
| Metric | Real Betis Seville · at home | CA Osasuna · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 3–0–0 | 1–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 2.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.23 | 1.60 |
| xG against per match | 1.71 | 1.77 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.67 | 3.67 |
| Corners per match | 4.67 | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 12.04.2026 CA Osasuna 1:1 Real Betis Seville
- 28.09.2025 Real Betis Seville 2:0 CA Osasuna
- 11.05.2025 Real Betis Seville 1:1 CA Osasuna
- 19.10.2024 CA Osasuna 1:2 Real Betis Seville
- 05.05.2024 CA Osasuna 0:2 Real Betis Seville
- 29.10.2023 Real Betis Seville 2:1 CA Osasuna
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Real Betis Seville come into this LaLiga fixture as the clearly stronger side on the available assessment, although the confidence level is moderate rather than emphatic. CA Osasuna face a difficult task against a home team that holds the stronger outcome signal. The match is projected to be medium-scoring, suggesting a contest with several opportunities but without an indication of an unusually open game.
The scoring outlook remains balanced in one important respect: both teams scoring is described as a coin flip. That leaves room for different match patterns, with the likely scorelines including a draw as well as wins for Real Betis Seville. Overall, the analytical picture gives Real Betis Seville the stronger position, while CA Osasuna retain a plausible route to a competitive result.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.