Racing Santander — Valencia CF: Win probabilities, 11.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.7% |
| 12 | 72.7% | |
| X2 | 59.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.7% / 35.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.8% / 6.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.2% / 15.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.1% / 38.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.8% / 61.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.2% / 78.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.1% / 89.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.10.2026
Racing Santander
16th place · 7 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Celta 0:5
- 16.09.2026 away Barcelona 2:7
- 12.09.2026 home Alaves 2:1
- 05.09.2026 away Vallecano 2:3
- 28.08.2026 home Elche 3:2
Valencia CF
19th place · 4 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Sociedad 2:3
- 15.09.2026 away Alaves 1:0
- 11.09.2026 away Sevilla 0:1
- 06.09.2026 home Barcelona 0:5
- 30.08.2026 away La Coruna 1:3
This season: Racing Santander at home vs Valencia CF away
| Metric | Racing Santander · at home | Valencia CF · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–0 | 1–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| xG for per match | 1.87 | 0.69 |
| xG against per match | 1.23 | 1.13 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 33% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Santander and Valencia CF appear evenly matched ahead of their LaLiga meeting on October 11. With moderate confidence in this assessment, the fixture looks competitive, with neither side holding a decisive advantage based on the available information. Racing Santander will have the home setting, while Valencia CF will look to make the most of its opportunities away from home. The balance between the teams suggests that the outcome may depend on how effectively each side converts its attacking phases into clear chances.
A relatively open contest is a reasonable expectation, with goals potentially coming at both ends. The assessment points towards a match in which both teams have a realistic opportunity to score, making defensive organisation and efficiency in front of goal important factors. A draw is a plausible scenario, but a narrow victory for either side also fits the overall outlook. Racing Santander and Valencia CF should therefore approach this fixture as a closely contested encounter, where small differences in execution could shape the final result.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.