Levante UD — Sevilla FC: Win probabilities, 12.10.2026
Full time
✓ Prediction hit
Final result
Levante UD3
:
3Sevilla FC
Locked signal 1X
Probability 64.7%
Verdict Hit
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
35.3%
Home win
Levante UD
X
29.5%
Draw
W2
35.3%
Away win
Sevilla FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1270.5%
Both teams to score
Yes53.7%
Totals 2.5
Under52.6%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.5% |
| 12 | 70.5% | |
| X2 | 67.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.7% / 46.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.9% / 9.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.2% / 25.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.7% / 74.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.8% / 88.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
Goal distribution model
Levante UD × Sevilla FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.1%
0:1
8.7%
0:2
6.8%
0:3
3.0%
0:4
1.0%
0:5
0.3%
1
1:0
8.0%
1:1
14.1%
1:2
8.4%
1:3
3.7%
1:4
1.2%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
5.9%
2:1
7.8%
2:2
5.2%
2:3
2.3%
2:4
0.8%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
2.4%
3:1
3.2%
3:2
2.1%
3:3
1.0%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.7%
4:1
1.0%
4:2
0.7%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.2%
5:1
0.2%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.1%
0:09.1%
0:18.7%
1:28.4%
1:08.0%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.10.2026
Levante UD
17th place · 5 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Villarreal 1:3
- 13.09.2026 home Barcelona 2:4
- 06.09.2026 away Malaga 0:0
- 29.08.2026 home Betis 5:2
- 24.08.2026 away Osasuna 0:0
Sevilla FC
5th place · 13 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Barcelona 1:3
- 16.09.2026 away La Coruna 1:0
- 11.09.2026 home Valencia 1:0
- 06.09.2026 away Espanol 1:1
- 29.08.2026 home Ath Madrid 1:3
This season: Levante UD at home vs Sevilla FC away
| Metric | Levante UD · at home | Sevilla FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–1 | 2–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.50 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 0.67 |
| xG for per match | 2.59 | 0.56 |
| xG against per match | 2.26 | 0.87 |
| Shots on target per match | 8.50 | 4.33 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Levante UD wins2
Draws0
Sevilla FC wins4
Goals per match3.33
Both teams scored2/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 23.04.2026 Levante UD 2:0 Sevilla FC
- 04.01.2026 Sevilla FC 0:3 Levante UD
- 21.04.2022 Levante UD 2:3 Sevilla FC
- 24.10.2021 Sevilla FC 5:3 Levante UD
- 21.04.2021 Levante UD 0:1 Sevilla FC
- 01.10.2020 Sevilla FC 1:0 Levante UD
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 2.75 → now 2.88 |
| W2 | was 2.75 → now 2.55 |
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