FC Barcelona — Getafe CF: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 97.2% |
| 12 | 93.2% | |
| X2 | 9.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 41.3% / 58.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 98.4% / 1.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 91.4% / 8.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 77.5% / 22.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 58.5% / 41.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 38.9% / 61.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 22.9% / 77.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 10.10.2026
FC Barcelona
1st place · 21 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Sevilla 3:1
- 16.09.2026 home Santander 7:2
- 13.09.2026 away Levante 4:2
- 06.09.2026 away Valencia 5:0
- 31.08.2026 home Vallecano 5:2
Getafe CF
13th place · 8 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Malaga 1:0
- 17.09.2026 away Betis 0:1
- 13.09.2026 home La Coruna 1:1
- 07.09.2026 home Celta 1:1
- 31.08.2026 away Osasuna 0:1
This season: FC Barcelona at home vs Getafe CF away
| Metric | FC Barcelona · at home | Getafe CF · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 3–0–0 | 0–0–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 4.67 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| xG for per match | 4.49 | 0.40 |
| xG against per match | 1.11 | 1.71 |
| Shots on target per match | 9.33 | 1.67 |
| Corners per match | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 25.04.2026 Getafe CF 0:2 FC Barcelona
- 21.09.2025 FC Barcelona 3:0 Getafe CF
- 18.01.2025 Getafe CF 1:1 FC Barcelona
- 25.09.2024 FC Barcelona 1:0 Getafe CF
- 24.02.2024 FC Barcelona 4:0 Getafe CF
- 13.08.2023 Getafe CF 0:0 FC Barcelona
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
FC Barcelona arrive at this LaLiga fixture in commanding form. The hosts sit top of the table with 21 points from seven matches, and their recent run reads five wins in a row, 24 goals scored against 7 conceded. At home the picture is just as emphatic: three played, three won, 14 goals in their favour, and a clear pattern of creating far more than they allow. On this evidence, the hosts look clearly stronger heading into the weekend.
Getafe CF travel in a very different state. They sit 13th on 8 points, their last five league outings have brought just a single win alongside two draws and two defeats, and on the road this season they have lost all three matches without scoring, conceding five. The away side has struggled to generate quality chances and has leaked them freely, which fits awkwardly against a side built to attack in waves at its own ground.
The head-to-head reinforces the direction of travel: six previous meetings have produced four FC Barcelona wins, two draws and no Getafe CF victories, with the last encounter ending 0-2 in the visitors' favour. A high-scoring, one-sided contest is the natural reading, though nothing in football is ever settled before kickoff.
What matters before kick-off
Raphinha ruled out for Getafe clash
FC Barcelona head coach Hansi Flick confirmed that team captain Raphinha will miss the match against Getafe following a thigh issue picked up during the international break.
Barcelona enter Matchday 8 with perfect league record
FC Barcelona host Getafe CF at top of the LaLiga standings after winning all seven of their opening fixtures to collect 21 points.
Getafe yet to win away at Barcelona in top-flight history
Getafe CF have never managed a win away against FC Barcelona in Catalonia in top-flight history across 23 attempts.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.