Elche CF — RC Celta de Vigo: Win probabilities, 11.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 61.9% |
| 12 | 70.6% | |
| X2 | 67.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.1% / 42.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.6% / 8.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.5% / 22.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.2% / 70.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.1% / 85.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.9% / 94.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.10.2026
Elche CF
18th place · 5 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.09.2026 away Espanol 3:1
- 15.09.2026 home Real Madrid 2:3
- 12.09.2026 away Ath Bilbao 1:1
- 07.09.2026 home Sociedad 2:3
- 28.08.2026 away Santander 2:3
RC Celta de Vigo
10th place · 8 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Santander 5:0
- 13.09.2026 home Malaga 1:1
- 07.09.2026 away Getafe 1:1
- 03.09.2026 away Sociedad 0:0
- 30.08.2026 home Ath Bilbao 0:2
This season: Elche CF at home vs RC Celta de Vigo away
| Metric | Elche CF · at home | RC Celta de Vigo · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–3 | 0–3–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.33 | 0.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| xG for per match | 1.32 | 0.66 |
| xG against per match | 2.86 | 0.79 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| Corners per match | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 33% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 03.05.2026 RC Celta de Vigo 3:1 Elche CF
- 28.09.2025 Elche CF 2:1 RC Celta de Vigo
- 26.04.2023 RC Celta de Vigo 1:0 Elche CF
- 06.01.2023 Elche CF 0:1 RC Celta de Vigo
- 15.05.2022 RC Celta de Vigo 1:0 Elche CF
- 03.10.2021 Elche CF 1:0 RC Celta de Vigo
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Elche CF and RC Celta de Vigo look evenly matched heading into their LaLiga meeting. The overall assessment carries moderate confidence, suggesting a contest without a clearly dominant side. The available scoring profile points toward a medium-scoring game, while the balance between the teams leaves several plausible outcomes.
The most representative scorelines are 1:1, 0:0, and 1:2, reflecting the uncertainty around the result. Both teams scoring is also described as a coin flip, so there is no strong basis for expecting goals at both ends. Overall, the matchup appears finely balanced, with a slight lean toward RC Celta de Vigo in the broader signal, but not enough to treat any single outcome as assured.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.