Real Betis Seville — Malaga CF: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
70.2%
Home win
Real Betis Seville
X
18.0%
Draw
W2
11.8%
Away win
Malaga CF
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X88.2%
Both teams to score
Yes55.7%
Totals 2.5
Over65.4%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 88.2% |
| 12 | 82.0% | |
| X2 | 29.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.7% / 44.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.0% / 4.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.5% / 14.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.4% / 34.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.5% / 56.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 25.0% / 75.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
Goal distribution model
Real Betis Seville × Malaga CF
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.0%
0:1
2.6%
0:2
1.5%
0:3
0.5%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
7.9%
1:1
8.4%
1:2
3.6%
1:3
1.1%
1:4
0.3%
1:5
0.0%
2
2:0
10.3%
2:1
9.5%
2:2
4.4%
2:3
1.4%
2:4
0.3%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
8.4%
3:1
7.7%
3:2
3.6%
3:3
1.1%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
5.1%
4:1
4.7%
4:2
2.2%
4:3
0.7%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
2.5%
5:1
2.3%
5:2
1.1%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:010.3%
2:19.5%
3:08.4%
1:18.4%
1:07.9%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Real Betis Seville
4th place · 20 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Celta 0:0
- 17.10.2026 home Barcelona 2:5
- 11.10.2026 home Osasuna 5:2
- 20.09.2026 away La Coruna 1:1
- 17.09.2026 home Getafe 1:0
Malaga CF
20th place · 5 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.10.2026 away Alaves 1:1
- 18.10.2026 home Sociedad 2:5
- 09.10.2026 home Espanol 1:1
- 20.09.2026 away Getafe 0:1
- 17.09.2026 home Villarreal 1:3
This season: Real Betis Seville at home vs Malaga CF away
| Metric | Real Betis Seville · at home | Malaga CF · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 4–0–1 | 0–2–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| xG for per match | 1.57 | 0.50 |
| xG against per match | 2.04 | 1.60 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.40 | 2.20 |
| Corners per match | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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