Levante UD — Atletico Madrid: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
18.4%
Home win
Levante UD
X
21.6%
Draw
W2
60.0%
Away win
Atletico Madrid
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X281.6%
Both teams to score
Yes61.2%
Totals 2.5
Over64.4%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 40.0% |
| 12 | 78.4% | |
| X2 | 81.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.2% / 38.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.6% / 4.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.1% / 14.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.4% / 35.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.4% / 57.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.1% / 75.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
Goal distribution model
Levante UD × Atletico Madrid
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.4%
0:1
7.1%
0:2
8.6%
0:3
6.2%
0:4
3.4%
0:5
1.5%
1
1:0
3.4%
1:1
9.8%
1:2
9.8%
1:3
7.1%
1:4
3.9%
1:5
1.7%
2
2:0
2.4%
2:1
5.2%
2:2
5.6%
2:3
4.1%
2:4
2.2%
2:5
1.0%
3
3:0
0.9%
3:1
2.0%
3:2
2.1%
3:3
1.5%
3:4
0.8%
3:5
0.4%
4
4:0
0.3%
4:1
0.6%
4:2
0.6%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:29.8%
1:19.8%
0:28.6%
0:17.1%
1:37.1%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Levante UD
14th place · 10 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Sociedad 1:2
- 21.10.2026 home Ath Bilbao 3:1
- 16.10.2026 away La Coruna 1:1
- 12.10.2026 home Sevilla 3:3
- 20.09.2026 away Villarreal 1:3
Atletico Madrid
2nd place · 25 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home La Coruna 1:0
- 17.10.2026 away Espanol 1:0
- 10.10.2026 away Alaves 2:1
- 20.09.2026 home Real Madrid 2:1
- 16.09.2026 home Osasuna 4:0
This season: Levante UD at home vs Atletico Madrid away
| Metric | Levante UD · at home | Atletico Madrid · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–1 | 4–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.25 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.28 | 1.51 |
| xG against per match | 2.24 | 0.88 |
| Shots on target per match | 8.00 | 5.60 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 40% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Levante UD wins2
Draws3
Atletico Madrid wins1
Goals per match2.17
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
- 31.01.2026 Levante UD 0:0 Atletico Madrid
- 08.11.2025 Atletico Madrid 3:1 Levante UD
- 16.02.2022 Atletico Madrid 0:1 Levante UD
- 28.10.2021 Levante UD 2:2 Atletico Madrid
- 20.02.2021 Atletico Madrid 0:2 Levante UD
- 17.02.2021 Levante UD 1:1 Atletico Madrid
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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