Getafe CF — Sevilla FC: Win probabilities, 01.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
31.9%
Home win
Getafe CF
X
30.7%
Draw
W2
37.4%
Away win
Sevilla FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1269.3%
Both teams to score
No54.8%
Totals 2.5
Under62.3%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.6% |
| 12 | 69.3% | |
| X2 | 68.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 45.2% / 54.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.1% / 11.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 65.3% / 34.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 37.7% / 62.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 18.0% / 82.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.2% / 92.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.5% / 97.5% |
Goal distribution model
Getafe CF × Sevilla FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.9%
0:1
12.0%
0:2
7.4%
0:3
2.8%
0:4
0.8%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
10.8%
1:1
14.2%
1:2
7.7%
1:3
3.0%
1:4
0.9%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
6.1%
2:1
7.0%
2:2
4.0%
2:3
1.5%
2:4
0.4%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
2.1%
3:1
2.4%
3:2
1.4%
3:3
0.5%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
0.6%
4:1
0.6%
4:2
0.4%
4:3
0.1%
4:4
0.0%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.0%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.2%
0:112.0%
0:011.9%
1:010.8%
1:27.7%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.11.2026
Getafe CF
17th place · 9 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Ath Bilbao 0:4
- 19.10.2026 home Vallecano 1:1
- 10.10.2026 away Barcelona 0:3
- 20.09.2026 home Malaga 1:0
- 17.09.2026 away Betis 0:1
Sevilla FC
6th place · 17 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.10.2026 home Osasuna 2:0
- 18.10.2026 away Real Madrid 1:4
- 12.10.2026 away Levante 3:3
- 19.09.2026 home Barcelona 1:3
- 16.09.2026 away La Coruna 1:0
This season: Getafe CF at home vs Sevilla FC away
| Metric | Getafe CF · at home | Sevilla FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 2–3–0 | 2–2–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| xG for per match | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| xG against per match | 1.16 | 1.37 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| Corners per match | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Getafe CF wins2
Draws1
Sevilla FC wins3
Goals per match1.50
Both teams scored1/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
- 22.02.2026 Getafe CF 0:1 Sevilla FC
- 25.08.2025 Sevilla FC 1:2 Getafe CF
- 01.02.2025 Getafe CF 0:0 Sevilla FC
- 14.09.2024 Sevilla FC 1:0 Getafe CF
- 30.03.2024 Getafe CF 0:1 Sevilla FC
- 16.12.2023 Sevilla FC 0:3 Getafe CF
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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