RC Deportivo de A Coruna — Sevilla FC: Win probabilities, 16.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.5% |
| 12 | 68.6% | |
| X2 | 63.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.6% / 45.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.9% / 10.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.0% / 25.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.7% / 74.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.8% / 88.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.09.2026
RC Deportivo de A Coruna
7th place · 9 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 13.09.2026 away Getafe 1:1
- 05.09.2026 away Villarreal 3:2
- 30.08.2026 home Valencia 3:1
- 24.08.2026 away Malaga 1:1
- 17.08.2026 home Elche 1:1
Sevilla FC
6th place · 10 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 11.09.2026 home Valencia 1:0
- 06.09.2026 away Espanol 1:1
- 29.08.2026 home Ath Madrid 1:3
- 22.08.2026 away Ath Bilbao 3:1
- 15.08.2026 home Vallecano 2:1
This season: RC Deportivo de A Coruna at home vs Sevilla FC away
| Metric | RC Deportivo de A Coruna · at home | Sevilla FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–0 | 1–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.88 | 0.47 |
| xG against per match | 1.37 | 1.24 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Corners per match | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
RC Deportivo de A Coruna and Sevilla FC appear evenly matched ahead of their LaLiga meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts a slight edge through the 1X signal, but the confidence is moderate rather than decisive. That points to a contest in which neither side has established control before kickoff, with the balance likely to depend on how well each team manages the key phases of the match.
The expected scoring pattern is medium-scoring, although the prospect of both teams finding the net remains difficult to separate from the alternative. A draw is therefore a credible outcome, while a narrow result for either side also fits the overall profile. The suggested scorelines of 1:1, 1:0 and 0:0 reflect a match that may remain close, with limited room between the teams and no clear basis for expecting an open, high-scoring encounter.
What matters before kick-off
Sevilla squad named for away clash with Deportivo
Sevilla head coach Luis Garcia Plaza named an unchanged 24-man squad for the trip to face RC Deportivo. Adama Sangante and Ruben Vargas remain out due to injury.
Sevilla's LaLiga return to Riazor
Sevilla play their first LaLiga match against RC Deportivo at Riazor in eight years. Across 109 historic official meetings, Sevilla hold 44 wins compared to Deportivo's 29 victories and 26 draws.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.