FC Barcelona — Racing Santander: Win probabilities, 16.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 97.2% |
| 12 | 95.1% | |
| X2 | 7.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.3% / 44.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 99.6% / 0.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 96.4% / 3.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 89.1% / 10.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 76.1% / 23.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 59.3% / 40.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 41.7% / 58.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.09.2026
FC Barcelona
1st place · 15 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 13.09.2026 away Levante 4:2
- 06.09.2026 away Valencia 5:0
- 31.08.2026 home Vallecano 5:2
- 27.08.2026 home Ath Bilbao 2:0
- 23.08.2026 away Elche 5:0
Racing Santander
11th place · 7 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 home Alaves 2:1
- 05.09.2026 away Vallecano 2:3
- 28.08.2026 home Elche 3:2
- 23.08.2026 away Getafe 0:1
- 16.08.2026 home Villarreal 2:2
This season: FC Barcelona at home vs Racing Santander away
| Metric | FC Barcelona · at home | Racing Santander · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–0 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 3.37 | 0.89 |
| xG against per match | 0.67 | 1.43 |
| Shots on target per match | 9.50 | 3.50 |
| Corners per match | 10.50 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
FC Barcelona meet Racing Santander in LaLiga on 16 September, with the hosts holding a clear advantage in the pre-match assessment. The available signals point to FC Barcelona being clearly stronger, and the high confidence behind that view suggests a match in which they are expected to control the main phases of play. Racing Santander face a difficult task against a side projected to create sustained attacking pressure.
The scoring outlook is also high, with the most likely scorelines indicating a comfortable FC Barcelona victory and a strong possibility of a clean sheet. At the same time, the assessment of both teams scoring is balanced, so Racing Santander’s contribution in front of goal remains less certain than the overall result direction. The central expectation is therefore a dominant home performance, with the contest potentially decided by how efficiently FC Barcelona turn their territorial and attacking superiority into goals.
What matters before kick-off
Team forms in LaLiga
FC Barcelona entered the match with a perfect 15 points from five wins, having recently defeated Levante 4-2. Racing Santander won their previous match 2-1 against Deportivo Alaves.
Racing Santander player availability
Racing Santander's Andre Almeida is suspended following a red card against Deportivo Alaves. Additionally, Simon Eriksson and Andres Martin miss out due to injuries.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.