Match intelligence

Real Betis Seville — Getafe CF: Win probabilities, 17.09.2026

League: LaLiga (Spain) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Real Betis Seville1
:
0Getafe CF
Locked signal W1 Probability 64.7% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 64.7% Home win Real Betis Seville
X 21.9% Draw
W2 13.4% Away win Getafe CF
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X86.6%
Both teams to score
No53.8%
Totals 2.5
Over50.8%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X86.6%
1278.1%
X235.3%
Both teams to scoreYes/No46.2% / 53.8%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 92.8% / 7.2%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 75.8% / 24.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 50.8% / 49.2%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 28.7% / 71.3%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 13.8% / 86.2%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 5.7% / 94.3%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Real Betis Seville × Getafe CF
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 7.2%
0:1 4.6%
0:2 1.9%
0:3 0.5%
0:4 0.1%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 12.5%
1:1 10.4%
1:2 3.8%
1:3 1.0%
1:4 0.2%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 12.6%
2:1 9.6%
2:2 3.7%
2:3 0.9%
2:4 0.2%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 8.2%
3:1 6.2%
3:2 2.4%
3:3 0.6%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 4.0%
4:1 3.0%
4:2 1.2%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 1.5%
5:1 1.2%
5:2 0.4%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
2:012.6%
1:012.5%
1:110.4%
2:19.6%
3:08.2%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 17.09.2026

Real Betis Seville

5th place · 12 pts after 5

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 14.09.2026 away Villarreal 2:1
  • 04.09.2026 home Real Madrid 1:0
  • 29.08.2026 away Levante 2:5
  • 25.08.2026 away Valencia 1:0
  • 21.08.2026 home Sociedad 1:0

Getafe CF

15th place · 5 pts after 5

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 13.09.2026 home La Coruna 1:1
  • 07.09.2026 home Celta 1:1
  • 31.08.2026 away Osasuna 0:1
  • 23.08.2026 home Santander 1:0
  • 15.08.2026 away Alaves 0:3

This season: Real Betis Seville at home vs Getafe CF away

Metric Real Betis Seville · at home Getafe CF · away
Matches22
W–D–L2–0–00–0–2
Goals scored per match1.000.00
Goals conceded per match0.002.00
xG for per match1.090.45
xG against per match2.411.80
Shots on target per match6.001.50
Corners per match5.003.00
Over 2.5 goals0%50%
Both teams scored0%0%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

Real Betis Seville wins3
Draws2
Getafe CF wins1
Goals per match2.67
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
  • 08.03.2026 Getafe CF 2:0 Real Betis Seville
  • 21.12.2025 Real Betis Seville 4:0 Getafe CF
  • 23.02.2025 Getafe CF 1:2 Real Betis Seville
  • 18.09.2024 Real Betis Seville 2:1 Getafe CF
  • 04.02.2024 Real Betis Seville 1:1 Getafe CF
  • 21.10.2023 Getafe CF 1:1 Real Betis Seville

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Real Betis Seville have a slight edge over Getafe CF in this LaLiga meeting, although the low confidence level points to a closely balanced contest rather than a decisive advantage. The available assessment leans toward the home side, but the margin between the teams is limited, making the result difficult to separate with much certainty.

A moderately open scoring pattern is expected, without a strong indication that either side will control the attacking outcome. The prospect of both teams scoring is finely balanced, so the match could develop in more than one direction. The most plausible scorelines point toward a narrow Real Betis Seville win, particularly through a controlled result, while a draw also remains a credible scenario. Overall, the hosts hold the clearer side of the prediction, but Getafe CF have enough presence in the assessment to keep the match competitive.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Team news

Getafe team news

Getafe midfielder Ramon Terrats was ruled out of the match against Real Betis due to physical discomfort. Meanwhile, defender Andres Garcia has returned to availability following an injury.

Availability

Andres Garcia availability

Getafe defender Andres Garcia is back available for selection against Real Betis after missing the previous fixture against Deportivo through injury.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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