RC Celta de Vigo — Juventus Turin: Win probabilities, 15.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
25.0%
Home win
RC Celta de Vigo
X
29.1%
Draw
W2
45.9%
Away win
Juventus Turin
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X275.0%
Both teams to score
Yes53.6%
Totals 2.5
Under51.4%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 54.1% |
| 12 | 70.9% | |
| X2 | 75.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.6% / 46.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.9% / 9.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.4% / 24.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.6% / 51.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.8% / 73.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.0% / 95.0% |
Goal distribution model
RC Celta de Vigo × Juventus Turin
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.1%
0:1
9.4%
0:2
8.6%
0:3
4.4%
0:4
1.7%
0:5
0.5%
1
1:0
6.1%
1:1
13.9%
1:2
9.3%
1:3
4.8%
1:4
1.8%
1:5
0.6%
2
2:0
4.3%
2:1
6.6%
2:2
5.0%
2:3
2.6%
2:4
1.0%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
1.5%
3:1
2.4%
3:2
1.8%
3:3
0.9%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.4%
4:1
0.6%
4:2
0.5%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.9%
0:19.4%
1:29.3%
0:09.1%
0:28.6%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Santander 5:0
- 13.09.2026 home Malaga 1:1
- 07.09.2026 away Getafe 1:1
- 03.09.2026 away Sociedad 0:0
- 30.08.2026 home Ath Bilbao 0:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Atalanta 2:0
- 13.09.2026 away Sassuolo 2:3
- 06.09.2026 home Milan 1:1
- 29.08.2026 home Parma 2:0
- 23.08.2026 away Frosinone 1:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 3.40 → now 3.75 |
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.