RB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026

RB Leipzig head into this Bundesliga meeting with a notable home record this season: two matches played at their own ground, two wins, eight goals scored and none conceded. That contrast with their patchy overall form, where recent results read L W L W L, suggests a side that lifts its level significantly in front of its own supporters. Eintracht Frankfurt arrive sitting one place and one point behind their hosts in the table, with a travel record that is respectable rather than imposing: one win and one draw from two away games, with six scored and four conceded.

The head-to-head picture adds further weight to the hosts' case. From six previous meetings, RB Leipzig have taken three wins to Eintracht Frankfurt's two, and the last encounter finished Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 RB Leipzig. Five of those six matches also produced more than two goals, pointing to encounters that tend to open up.

Taken together, the hosts look the clearly stronger side here, though with only moderate confidence given Eintracht Frankfurt's defensive output on the road and RB Leipzig's uneven away-day form. The visitors' goalscoring record on their travels makes it plausible that both teams find the net, in line with the broader pattern of this fixture.