Racing Club Avellaneda — CA Tigre: Win probabilities, 01.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.0% |
| 12 | 68.9% | |
| X2 | 52.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 36.4% / 63.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 85.0% / 15.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 58.0% / 42.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 30.5% / 69.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 13.1% / 86.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.4% / 98.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.07.2026 away Rosario Central 0:0
- 24.07.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 2:1
- 13.05.2026 away Rosario Central 1:1
- 10.05.2026 away Estudiantes L.P. 1:0
- 03.05.2026 home Huracan 0:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.07.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0:1
- 03.05.2026 away Rosario Central 1:1
- 25.04.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 0:1
- 21.04.2026 home Huracan 1:1
- 12.04.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 0:0
This season: Racing Club Avellaneda at home vs CA Tigre away
| Metric | Racing Club Avellaneda · at home | CA Tigre · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 3–3–2 | 1–4–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.13 | 0.78 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.89 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 44% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 02.02.2026 CA Tigre 3:1 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 02.12.2025 Racing Club Avellaneda 0:0 CA Tigre
- 16.08.2025 Racing Club Avellaneda 1:2 CA Tigre
- 12.02.2025 CA Tigre 1:0 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 24.05.2024 CA Tigre 0:4 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 31.01.2024 Racing Club Avellaneda 3:0 CA Tigre
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Racing Club Avellaneda have a slight but credible edge over CA Tigre in this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points toward a cautious contest, with neither side strongly favoured to impose a high-scoring game. That makes the home advantage more relevant, although the margin between the teams remains limited.
The match profile suggests that a narrow Racing Club Avellaneda success or a draw are the most consistent possibilities. Both teams scoring is difficult to separate, so the game could turn on a small number of chances and defensive discipline rather than sustained attacking pressure. CA Tigre should remain competitive if they can keep the structure compact, while Racing Club Avellaneda will look to make their territorial advantage count without allowing the match to become open. Overall, the hosts are clearly stronger only in relative terms, with a low-scoring and closely managed encounter the likeliest shape.
What matters before kick-off
Martínez returns for Racing
Racing Club forward Adrián "Maravilla" Martínez is available for selection after serving a two-match suspension.
Recent league results for both teams
Juan Pablo Vojvoda's Racing Club enter the match following a 0-0 draw against Rosario Central, while Tigre suffered a 1-0 defeat away to Estudiantes de Río Cuarto.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.