Deportivo Riestra AFBC — CA Barracas Central: Win probabilities, 02.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.4% |
| 12 | 64.5% | |
| X2 | 57.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 29.8% / 70.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 79.5% / 20.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 48.7% / 51.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 22.1% / 77.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 8.1% / 91.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 2.5% / 97.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 0.6% / 99.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.07.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 1:2
- 26.07.2026 home Boca Juniors 3:0
- 02.05.2026 away Lanus 0:0
- 24.04.2026 home Independiente 2:0
- 20.04.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 0:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.07.2026 home Aldosivi 1:0
- 25.07.2026 away River Plate 1:0
- 02.05.2026 home Banfield 1:2
- 25.04.2026 away Racing Club 1:1
- 20.04.2026 home Belgrano 0:0
This season: Deportivo Riestra AFBC at home vs CA Barracas Central away
| Metric | Deportivo Riestra AFBC · at home | CA Barracas Central · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 2–5–2 | 3–4–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.44 | 0.78 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 11% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 22% | 44% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 01.02.2026 CA Barracas Central 1:1 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
- 24.11.2025 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 0:0 CA Barracas Central
- 06.12.2024 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 0:0 CA Barracas Central
- 04.02.2024 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 0:1 CA Barracas Central
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Deportivo Riestra AFBC hold a slight but credible edge over CA Barracas Central in this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture. The available signals point toward a cautious contest in which the hosts are more likely to avoid defeat, while the overall balance still leaves room for a draw. This is not a matchup that suggests a wide gap between the sides, but Deportivo Riestra AFBC appear better placed to control the key phases of the game.
The expected pattern is low-scoring, with limited space and relatively few clear chances likely to shape the result. A clean sheet looks more likely than both teams finding the net, which makes the opening goal particularly important. A goalless draw, a narrow home victory, or a match ending level after one goal each all fit the analytical profile. CA Barracas Central may keep the game competitive, but the stronger lean is toward Deportivo Riestra AFBC securing at least a point, with a narrow home win the more positive outcome for the hosts.
What matters before kick-off
Matchday 3 of Clausura 2026
Deportivo Riestra face Barracas Central at Estadio Guillermo Laza on matchday 3 of the 2026 Argentine Torneo Clausura.
Recent team form
Barracas Central entered the matchday with 6 points following two consecutive wins (including a 1-0 victory over Aldosivi), while Deportivo Riestra held 3 points after a 2-1 defeat against Defensa y Justicia.
Head-to-head history
Heading into this fixture, the two clubs had met 95 times officially across all tiers of Argentine football, resulting in 35 wins for Barracas Central, 31 for Deportivo Riestra, and 29 draws.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.