CA River Plate (ARG) — CA Rosario Central: Win probabilities, 02.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.3% |
| 12 | 70.4% | |
| X2 | 48.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 36.2% / 63.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 85.9% / 14.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 59.4% / 40.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 32.0% / 68.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 14.0% / 86.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 5.1% / 94.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.6% / 98.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.07.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 0:1
- 25.07.2026 home Barracas Central 0:1
- 24.05.2026 home Belgrano 2:3
- 16.05.2026 home Rosario Central 1:0
- 14.05.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 2:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.07.2026 home Racing Club 0:0
- 23.07.2026 away Belgrano 1:2
- 16.05.2026 away River Plate 0:1
- 13.05.2026 home Racing Club 1:1
- 10.05.2026 home Independiente 3:1
This season: CA River Plate (ARG) at home vs CA Rosario Central away
| Metric | CA River Plate (ARG) · at home | CA Rosario Central · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 7–1–5 | 4–2–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.54 | 1.10 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 60% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 16.05.2026 CA River Plate (ARG) 1:0 CA Rosario Central
- 02.02.2026 CA Rosario Central 0:0 CA River Plate (ARG)
- 06.10.2025 CA Rosario Central 2:1 CA River Plate (ARG)
- 30.03.2025 CA River Plate (ARG) 2:2 CA Rosario Central
- 08.12.2024 CA River Plate (ARG) 4:0 CA Rosario Central
- 08.04.2024 CA River Plate (ARG) 2:1 CA Rosario Central
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA River Plate (ARG) have a slight edge over CA Rosario Central in this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting, with the available assessment pointing toward a cautious and relatively balanced contest. The hosts are favoured to avoid defeat, but the margin between the teams is not expected to be wide. That makes a home win or draw the most suitable overall reading of the match, rather than a strong call on a decisive result.
The expected profile is low-scoring, with limited room for either side to establish a clear attacking advantage. The most plausible scorelines are 1:0, 1:1 and 0:0, all of which indicate that fine details and defensive discipline could shape the outcome. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, so that aspect remains evenly poised. CA River Plate (ARG) enter the match with the stronger assessment, but CA Rosario Central retain a realistic path to taking a point.
What matters before kick-off
2026 Apertura semifinal result
In May 2026, River Plate defeated Rosario Central 1-0 in the Apertura semifinals courtesy of a goal by Facundo Colidio.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.