Newell's Old Boys — Boca Juniors: Win probabilities, 02.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 49.6% |
| 12 | 70.8% | |
| X2 | 79.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.5% / 55.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.6% / 11.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.8% / 32.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 40.0% / 60.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.7% / 80.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.2% / 91.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.9% / 97.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 31.07.2026 away Independiente 0:1
- 25.07.2026 home Talleres Cordoba 1:0
- 04.05.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 1:1
- 26.04.2026 home Instituto 1:1
- 18.04.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 3:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.07.2026 away Dep. Riestra 0:3
- 09.05.2026 home Huracan 1:1
- 02.05.2026 away Central Cordoba 2:1
- 24.04.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 4:0
- 19.04.2026 away River Plate 1:0
This season: Newell's Old Boys at home vs Boca Juniors away
| Metric | Newell's Old Boys · at home | Boca Juniors · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 2–4–3 | 5–1–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.78 | 1.56 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.11 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 11% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 44% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 01.02.2026 Boca Juniors 2:0 Newell's Old Boys
- 05.10.2025 Boca Juniors 5:0 Newell's Old Boys
- 30.03.2025 Newell's Old Boys 2:0 Boca Juniors
- 09.12.2024 Newell's Old Boys 0:1 Boca Juniors
- 06.04.2024 Newell's Old Boys 1:3 Boca Juniors
- 12.11.2023 Boca Juniors 1:0 Newell's Old Boys
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Newell's Old Boys face Boca Juniors in the Primera LPF, Clausura, with Boca Juniors holding a slight but high-confidence edge. The overall signal points toward an away win or draw rather than a clear separation between the teams, so the match may remain competitive throughout. Newell's Old Boys will need to keep the game controlled and avoid allowing Boca Juniors to establish an early advantage.
The scoring outlook is low, suggesting a cautious contest in which individual moments could carry significant weight. The possibility of both teams scoring remains balanced, so neither a clean sheet nor goals at both ends should be treated as the dominant expectation. The most plausible scorelines are narrow outcomes such as 0:1 or 1:1, with 0:0 also consistent with the restrained attacking outlook. Overall, Boca Juniors have the stronger position, but the margin appears limited and a draw remains a credible scenario.
What matters before kick-off
Venue and Competition
Newell's Old Boys host Boca Juniors at the Estadio Marcelo Bielsa in Rosario as part of the Argentine Primera División Clausura.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.