CA Lanus — Instituto AC Cordoba: Win probabilities, 03.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 76.9% |
| 12 | 68.7% | |
| X2 | 54.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 36.1% / 63.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 84.8% / 15.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 56.9% / 43.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 29.6% / 70.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.4% / 95.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.3% / 98.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 03.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.07.2026 home San Lorenzo 1:0
- 10.05.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 0:2
- 02.05.2026 home Dep. Riestra 0:0
- 24.04.2026 home Central Cordoba 0:0
- 21.04.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 0:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.07.2026 home Platense 2:1
- 24.07.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 0:1
- 05.05.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:0
- 26.04.2026 away Newells Old Boys 1:1
- 18.04.2026 home Estudiantes L.P. 0:1
This season: CA Lanus at home vs Instituto AC Cordoba away
| Metric | CA Lanus · at home | Instituto AC Cordoba · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 4–4–1 | 2–2–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.11 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.56 | 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 22% | 33% |
Head-to-head · Last 5 meetings
- 04.02.2026 Instituto AC Cordoba 2:2 CA Lanus
- 29.09.2025 Instituto AC Cordoba 0:0 CA Lanus
- 17.03.2025 CA Lanus 4:1 Instituto AC Cordoba
- 07.12.2024 CA Lanus 2:0 Instituto AC Cordoba
- 26.07.2023 Instituto AC Cordoba 2:1 CA Lanus
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Lanus have a slight edge over Instituto AC Cordoba in this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The overall expectation is for a controlled and cautious contest, with limited space and relatively few clear opportunities. CA Lanus are favoured to avoid defeat, but the assessment does not point to a wide gap between the sides.
The match is projected to be low-scoring, making the opening goal particularly important. A clean sheet is considered likely, which supports the possibility of a narrow home victory or a goalless draw if Instituto AC Cordoba can maintain their defensive shape. The most plausible scorelines are 1:0, 0:0 and 1:1, all indicating a closely managed game rather than an open exchange. Home advantage gives CA Lanus the clearer side of the balance, while Instituto AC Cordoba remain capable of making the result competitive.
What matters before kick-off
Lanús aiming to bounce back following Copa Sudamericana exit
Lanús enter matchday 3 of the Torneo Clausura after being eliminated from the Copa Sudamericana by Peruvian side Cienciano (4-2 on aggregate). Mauricio Pellegrino's side previously opened their domestic campaign with a 1-0 victory over San Lorenzo.
Instituto secured first Clausura points on matchday 2
Instituto defeated Platense 2-1 on matchday 2 of the Torneo Clausura with goals from Giuliano Cerato and Matías Tissera, recovering from an opening-round loss against Vélez Sarsfield.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.