Match intelligence

CA Platense — CA Talleres de Cordoba: Win probabilities, 03.08.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
CA Platense0
:
4CA Talleres de Cordoba
Locked signal 1X Probability 70.6% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 36.2% Home win CA Platense
X 34.5% Draw
W2 29.4% Away win CA Talleres de Cordoba
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X70.6%
Both teams to score
No63.9%
Totals 2.5
Under72.8%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X70.6%
1265.5%
X263.8%
Both teams to scoreYes/No36.1% / 63.9%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 82.7% / 17.3%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 54.8% / 45.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 27.2% / 72.8%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 11.0% / 89.0%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 3.7% / 96.3%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 1.1% / 98.9%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Platense × CA Talleres de Cordoba
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 17.3%
0:1 12.9%
0:2 5.8%
0:3 1.6%
0:4 0.3%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 15.0%
1:1 14.2%
1:2 5.6%
1:3 1.6%
1:4 0.3%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 7.7%
2:1 6.4%
2:2 2.7%
2:3 0.8%
2:4 0.2%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 2.5%
3:1 2.1%
3:2 0.9%
3:3 0.2%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 0.6%
4:1 0.5%
4:2 0.2%
4:3 0.1%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.1%
5:1 0.1%
5:2 0.0%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
0:017.3%
1:015.0%
1:114.2%
0:112.9%
2:07.7%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 03.08.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 30.07.2026 away Instituto 1:2
  • 25.07.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 2:2
  • 03.05.2026 home Estudiantes L.P. 0:2
  • 25.04.2026 home San Lorenzo 0:1
  • 20.04.2026 away Central Cordoba 3:4

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 30.07.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 1:3
  • 25.07.2026 away Newells Old Boys 0:1
  • 09.05.2026 home Belgrano 0:1
  • 02.05.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 1:1
  • 25.04.2026 away Estudiantes L.P. 0:0

This season: CA Platense at home vs CA Talleres de Cordoba away

Metric CA Platense · at home CA Talleres de Cordoba · away
Matches910
W–D–L2–3–43–4–3
Goals scored per match0.670.80
Goals conceded per match1.110.90
Over 2.5 goals22%30%
Both teams scored33%50%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Platense wins2
Draws1
CA Talleres de Cordoba wins3
Goals per match2.67
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
  • 01.02.2026 CA Talleres de Cordoba 1:2 CA Platense
  • 08.11.2025 CA Talleres de Cordoba 1:0 CA Platense
  • 29.04.2025 CA Platense 2:1 CA Talleres de Cordoba
  • 14.06.2024 CA Talleres de Cordoba 2:1 CA Platense
  • 25.02.2023 CA Platense 2:4 CA Talleres de Cordoba
  • 23.08.2022 CA Platense 0:0 CA Talleres de Cordoba

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Platense and CA Talleres de Cordoba meet in the Primera LPF, Clausura in a contest that appears evenly matched. The available assessment gives neither side a clear overall advantage, so the moderate confidence points toward a cautious reading rather than a decisive prediction. Home advantage may help CA Platense remain competitive, while CA Talleres de Cordoba should have a realistic chance of taking something from the match.

The game is expected to be low-scoring, with limited room for either attack to establish sustained control. A clean sheet is considered likely, which makes defensive organisation and the handling of small moments especially important. The most plausible scorelines are 0:0, 1:0, and 1:1, all consistent with a tight encounter where one goal could significantly alter the balance. Overall, the outlook favours a measured match with the home side protected against defeat, but without enough separation to expect a clear winner.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Team news

Platense Squad Changes and Medical Updates

CA Platense included new signing Luciano Giménez in their matchday squad while Manuel Tucker, Gonzalo Lencina, and Leonardo Heredia were excluded. Additionally, Maximiliano Amarfil and Augusto Lotti are sidelined with back issues, with Gonzalo Goñi and Tomás Nasif recovering from surgeries.

Schedule

Start to the Torneo Clausura 2026

CA Platense opened the Clausura with a 2-2 draw against Unión before losing 2-1 to Instituto. Meanwhile, CA Talleres de Córdoba started their campaign with back-to-back losses against Newell's Old Boys (1-0) and Vélez Sarsfield (3-1).

Match fact

Top-Flight Head-to-Head Record

In 43 top-division Argentine league matches, CA Platense holds 17 victories to CA Talleres' 14, alongside 12 draws. Their previous encounter in January 2026 ended in a 2-1 away win for Platense.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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