Match intelligence

CA Huracan — Atletico Tucuman: Win probabilities, 04.08.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
CA Huracan0
:
0Atletico Tucuman
Locked signal 1X Probability 78.6% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 45.9% Home win CA Huracan
X 32.7% Draw
W2 21.4% Away win Atletico Tucuman
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X80.7%
Both teams to score
No59.2%
Totals 2.5
Under65.6%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X80.7%
1267.5%
X251.9%
Both teams to scoreYes/No40.8% / 59.2%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 85.5% / 14.5%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 63.4% / 36.6%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 34.4% / 65.6%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 15.7% / 84.3%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 6.0% / 94.0%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 1.9% / 98.1%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Huracan × Atletico Tucuman
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 14.5%
0:1 7.5%
0:2 3.6%
0:3 0.9%
0:4 0.2%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 14.6%
1:1 14.5%
1:2 4.7%
1:3 1.2%
1:4 0.2%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 11.0%
2:1 8.3%
2:2 3.1%
2:3 0.8%
2:4 0.1%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 4.8%
3:1 3.6%
3:2 1.4%
3:3 0.3%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 1.6%
4:1 1.2%
4:2 0.5%
4:3 0.1%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.4%
5:1 0.3%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:014.6%
0:014.5%
1:114.5%
2:011.0%
2:18.3%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 04.08.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 30.07.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 1:2
  • 25.07.2026 home Banfield 1:0
  • 13.05.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 0:0
  • 09.05.2026 away Boca Juniors 1:1
  • 03.05.2026 away Racing Club 0:0

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 31.07.2026 away Central Cordoba 2:0
  • 26.07.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 0:0
  • 03.05.2026 away River Plate 1:0
  • 27.04.2026 home Banfield 1:1
  • 19.04.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 0:1

This season: CA Huracan at home vs Atletico Tucuman away

Metric CA Huracan · at home Atletico Tucuman · away
Matches99
W–D–L5–1–32–0–7
Goals scored per match1.331.00
Goals conceded per match0.891.56
Over 2.5 goals56%67%
Both teams scored56%67%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Huracan wins2
Draws2
Atletico Tucuman wins2
Goals per match2.50
Both teams scored2/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
  • 01.02.2026 Atletico Tucuman 1:1 CA Huracan
  • 19.11.2024 Atletico Tucuman 4:2 CA Huracan
  • 13.04.2024 CA Huracan 4:0 Atletico Tucuman
  • 26.11.2023 Atletico Tucuman 0:2 CA Huracan
  • 07.07.2023 CA Huracan 0:1 Atletico Tucuman
  • 19.06.2022 CA Huracan 0:0 Atletico Tucuman

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Huracan have a slight but credible edge over Atletico Tucuman in this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The overall expectation is for a controlled contest rather than an open exchange, with limited scoring opportunities likely to shape the match. CA Huracan may be better placed to take initiative at home, but the margin between the sides appears narrow enough for a draw to remain a realistic possibility.

The most consistent reading points toward a low-scoring game, with CA Huracan having the stronger chance of edging it if they can convert one of the few clear opportunities created. A clean sheet is considered likely, which reinforces the possibility of a tight 1-0 result, while 0-0 and 1-1 also fit the expected pattern. Atletico Tucuman should remain competitive if they keep the structure of the game compact, making this a fixture where patience and defensive discipline could be more influential than sustained attacking pressure.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Clausura Round 3 fixture

CA Huracán host Atlético Tucumán in round 3 of Zone B in the Argentine Clausura at the Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó in Buenos Aires.

Availability

Atlético Tucumán squad list

Atlético Tucumán head coach Julio César Falcioni selected a 23-player squad for the away match against Huracán.

Match fact

Match referee assignment

Bruno Amiconi was appointed as the head referee for the match between Huracán and Atlético Tucumán, with Hernán Mastrángelo overseeing VAR.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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