CA Central Cordoba SE — CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Win probabilities, 04.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.7% |
| 12 | 66.7% | |
| X2 | 66.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 38.6% / 61.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 84.4% / 15.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 57.6% / 42.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 29.8% / 70.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 12.7% / 87.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.5% / 95.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.3% / 98.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
CA Central Cordoba SE and CA San Lorenzo de Almagro appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available indicators point towards a cautious contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That balance may encourage both teams to prioritise defensive structure and avoid taking unnecessary risks early in the match.
The scoring outlook is low, making a tight midfield battle and limited clear chances plausible. A clean sheet is considered likely, so the game could remain level for long periods if neither attack finds a decisive opening. The most consistent scoreline scenarios are 0-0, 1-1, and 1-0, reflecting a match where small details may matter more than sustained dominance. Overall, the assessment gives a moderate-confidence view of an evenly matched encounter, with the hosts having some protection against defeat.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.