CA Central Cordoba SE — CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Win probabilities, 04.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 61.9% |
| 12 | 67.4% | |
| X2 | 70.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.3% / 55.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 86.7% / 13.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 64.5% / 35.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 36.0% / 64.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 16.8% / 83.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 6.6% / 93.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.2% / 97.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 04.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 31.07.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 0:2
- 24.07.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 0:1
- 02.05.2026 home Boca Juniors 1:2
- 24.04.2026 away Lanus 0:0
- 20.04.2026 home Platense 4:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 28.07.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 1:0
- 26.07.2026 away Lanus 0:1
- 10.05.2026 away River Plate 1:1
- 02.05.2026 home Independiente 1:2
- 25.04.2026 away Platense 1:0
This season: CA Central Cordoba SE at home vs CA San Lorenzo de Almagro away
| Metric | CA Central Cordoba SE · at home | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 4–1–4 | 2–6–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.11 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.22 | 0.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 30% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 31.01.2026 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
- 23.11.2025 CA Central Cordoba SE 2:1 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
- 01.11.2024 CA Central Cordoba SE 0:1 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
- 15.04.2024 CA Central Cordoba SE 0:0 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
- 27.11.2023 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 2:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
- 12.06.2023 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 0:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Central Cordoba SE and CA San Lorenzo de Almagro appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts no clear advantage, while the visitors have a slight edge in the broader outcome signal. With confidence described as moderate, the match looks difficult to separate, and a draw remains a realistic possibility.
The scoring outlook is restrained, pointing towards a low-scoring contest rather than an open exchange. A clean sheet is considered likely, which further supports a match decided by limited opportunities and fine margins. The most plausible scorelines are goalless draw, a narrow away win, or a match in which both sides score once. Overall, CA Central Cordoba SE will need to make the most of its chances, while CA San Lorenzo de Almagro may be best placed to avoid defeat in a cautious encounter.
What matters before kick-off
Ezequiel Herrera injured for San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo defender Ezequiel Herrera is ruled out of the match against Central Córdoba due to a right hamstring strain.
Matchday 3 of the Torneo Clausura
Central Córdoba hosts San Lorenzo for Matchday 3 of Zone A in the 2026 Torneo Clausura at the Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades in Santiago del Estero.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.