CA Aldosivi — Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata: Win probabilities, 02.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.5% |
| 12 | 66.0% | |
| X2 | 71.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 35.4% / 64.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 82.8% / 17.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 54.2% / 45.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 26.8% / 73.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 10.8% / 89.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 3.6% / 96.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.0% / 99.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.07.2026 away Barracas Central 0:1
- 24.07.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 1:1
- 03.05.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 1:1
- 26.04.2026 away River Plate 1:3
- 19.04.2026 home Racing Club 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.07.2026 home River Plate 1:0
- 24.07.2026 away Racing Club 1:2
- 14.05.2026 away River Plate 0:2
- 11.05.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 1:0
- 03.05.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 2:0
This season: CA Aldosivi at home vs Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata away
| Metric | CA Aldosivi · at home | Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 0–7–1 | 5–1–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.38 | 0.91 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.63 | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 36% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 02.02.2026 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 3:1 CA Aldosivi
- 24.08.2022 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 0:0 CA Aldosivi
- 25.09.2021 CA Aldosivi 1:3 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
- 10.11.2019 CA Aldosivi 0:3 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
- 25.02.2019 CA Aldosivi 0:0 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
- 18.04.2017 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 1:0 CA Aldosivi
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Aldosivi and Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points to a cautious contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That balance should make the opening stages particularly important, as both teams may prioritise structure and avoid exposing space unnecessarily.
The match is expected to be low-scoring, with a clean sheet considered likely. Draws and narrow margins fit the projected pattern, making a goalless result or a one-goal victory plausible outcomes. Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata have a slight edge in the broader result signal, but the moderate confidence indicates that this is not a decisive separation. CA Aldosivi will likely look to keep the game compact, while Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata may need patience to find a breakthrough. Overall, the evidence supports a tight encounter where a single moment could determine the outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Matchday 3 in Torneo Clausura
CA Aldosivi host Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata at the Estadio Jose Maria Minella in Mar del Plata for matchday 3 of the 2026 Torneo Clausura.
Gimnasia's recent victory
Ariel Pereyra's Gimnasia La Plata enter the fixture following a 1-0 win against River Plate in their previous round.
Aldosivi's start to the tournament
Israel Damonte's Aldosivi opened their Clausura campaign with a 1-1 draw against Defensa y Justicia, followed by a 1-0 defeat to Barracas Central.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.