CA Belgrano de Cordoba — Argentinos Juniors: Win probabilities, 01.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72.5% |
| 12 | 67.2% | |
| X2 | 60.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.5% / 53.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.1% / 12.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.0% / 33.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 38.2% / 61.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 18.4% / 81.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.4% / 92.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.6% / 97.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 home Rosario Central 2:1
- 24.05.2026 away River Plate 3:2
- 17.05.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 1:1
- 12.05.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 2:0
- 09.05.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.07.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 3:0
- 23.07.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 3:2
- 17.05.2026 home Belgrano 1:1
- 13.05.2026 home Huracan 0:0
- 10.05.2026 home Lanus 2:0
This season: CA Belgrano de Cordoba at home vs Argentinos Juniors away
| Metric | CA Belgrano de Cordoba · at home | Argentinos Juniors · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 8 |
| W–D–L | 6–2–2 | 3–2–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.60 | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 63% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 17.05.2026 Argentinos Juniors 1:1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
- 03.02.2026 Argentinos Juniors 0:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
- 11.11.2025 Argentinos Juniors 1:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
- 26.04.2025 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1:1 Argentinos Juniors
- 02.06.2024 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1:0 Argentinos Juniors
- 18.02.2023 Argentinos Juniors 3:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Belgrano de Cordoba have a narrow but well-supported advantage over Argentinos Juniors in this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The balance of the assessment points towards the hosts avoiding defeat, although the gap between the sides is not large enough to suggest a one-sided contest. Argentinos Juniors remain a credible threat, and the draw is a substantial part of the match outlook.
The game is expected to be low-scoring, which could make individual moments and defensive discipline especially important. Whether both teams score is viewed as finely balanced, so neither side has a clear attacking advantage in that area. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 0:0 and 1:0, reflecting a cautious match with limited space and few clear chances. Overall, CA Belgrano de Cordoba hold the slight edge, while a draw remains a realistic outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Recent form coming into matchday 3
Belgrano opened their Clausura campaign with a 2-1 win over Rosario Central (their matchday 2 fixture was postponed), while Argentinos Juniors enter matchday 3 having won both of their opening games—beating Sarmiento 3-2 and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 3-0.
Previous meeting in Apertura 2026 semifinal
The two sides met in May 2026 in the Torneo Apertura semifinals, where Belgrano eliminated Argentinos Juniors 4-3 on penalties following a 1-1 draw in regular time.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.