Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza — Union de Santa Fe: Win probabilities, 01.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 59.5% |
| 12 | 69.8% | |
| X2 | 70.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.2% / 55.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.1% / 11.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 64.6% / 35.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 37.1% / 62.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 17.6% / 82.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.0% / 93.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.4% / 97.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 28.07.2026 away San Lorenzo 0:1
- 24.07.2026 home Central Cordoba 1:0
- 04.05.2026 home Defensa y Justicia 2:1
- 26.04.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 1:5
- 21.04.2026 home Lanus 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.07.2026 away Platense 2:2
- 12.05.2026 away Belgrano 0:2
- 10.05.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 2:1
- 02.05.2026 home Talleres Cordoba 1:1
- 27.04.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 2:2
This season: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza at home vs Union de Santa Fe away
| Metric | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza · at home | Union de Santa Fe · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 5–1–3 | 3–3–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.11 | 1.55 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.89 | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 73% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 73% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 03.02.2026 Union de Santa Fe 4:0 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and Union de Santa Fe appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points to a cautious contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. The moderate confidence level suggests that the match could be shaped by small details rather than a strong difference in quality.
A low-scoring game is the main expectation, and the possible scorelines reflect that pattern. A 1:1 draw stands out alongside 0:0 and a narrow 0:1 result. Both teams scoring is difficult to separate, so the match may remain finely balanced for long periods. Union de Santa Fe have a slight edge in the broader result profile because the assessment leans toward avoiding a home win, but that does not remove the draw as a central possibility. The most consistent reading is a tight, controlled encounter with limited opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
Torneo Clausura Round 3 clash
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza host Union de Santa Fe on August 1, 2026, at the Estadio Victor Antonio Legrotaglie in Matchday 3 of the Torneo Clausura.
Difference in match freshness
Union de Santa Fe enter the fixture with extra rest after their Matchday 2 game against Lanus was postponed, while Gimnasia Mendoza come off a 1-0 defeat to San Lorenzo in their last match.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.