Match intelligence

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — CA Banfield: Win probabilities, 01.08.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0
:
0CA Banfield
Locked signal 1X Probability 67.1% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 34.5% Home win Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
X 32.6% Draw
W2 32.9% Away win CA Banfield
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1267.4%
Both teams to score
No52.7%
Totals 2.5
Under61.2%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X67.1%
1267.4%
X265.5%
Both teams to scoreYes/No47.3% / 52.7%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 87.5% / 12.5%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 67.4% / 32.6%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 38.8% / 61.2%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 18.9% / 81.1%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 7.7% / 92.3%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 2.7% / 97.3%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto × CA Banfield
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 12.5%
0:1 9.9%
0:2 6.5%
0:3 2.4%
0:4 0.7%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 10.2%
1:1 15.2%
1:2 7.4%
1:3 2.7%
1:4 0.7%
1:5 0.2%
2
2:0 6.9%
2:1 7.6%
2:2 4.2%
2:3 1.5%
2:4 0.4%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 2.6%
3:1 2.9%
3:2 1.6%
3:3 0.6%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 0.7%
4:1 0.8%
4:2 0.5%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.2%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:115.2%
0:012.5%
1:010.2%
0:19.9%
2:17.6%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 01.08.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 29.07.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 0:3
  • 25.07.2026 home Tigre 1:0
  • 05.05.2026 home Instituto 0:2
  • 24.04.2026 home Rosario Central 1:2
  • 18.04.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 0:1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 28.07.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 3:2
  • 25.07.2026 away Huracan 0:1
  • 02.05.2026 away Barracas Central 2:1
  • 27.04.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 1:1
  • 20.04.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 0:0

This season: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto at home vs CA Banfield away

Metric Estudiantes Rio Cuarto · at home CA Banfield · away
Matches99
W–D–L2–1–61–1–7
Goals scored per match0.560.78
Goals conceded per match1.111.56
Over 2.5 goals22%44%
Both teams scored22%56%

Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto wins0
Draws0
CA Banfield wins1
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored1/1
Over 2.5 goals1/1
  • 03.02.2026 CA Banfield 2:1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto and CA Banfield appear evenly matched ahead of their meeting in the Primera LPF, Clausura. The available assessment points to a cautious contest in which neither side holds a clear overall advantage. With the confidence level described as moderate, the match is best approached as a balanced tactical encounter rather than one likely to be decided by a pronounced difference in quality.

The scoring outlook is low, and a clean sheet is considered likely, which suggests that defensive organisation may carry more weight than attacking momentum. A goalless draw is among the leading scorelines, while a one-one draw or a narrow one-nil win for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto also fit the expected pattern. The signal favours protection for the home side, but the broader picture remains close, with CA Banfield capable of keeping the game under control and limiting clear chances.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Matchday 3 fixture

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto host Banfield for matchday 3 of the 2026 Torneo Clausura. The home team is coming off a 3-0 defeat against Argentinos Juniors, while Banfield recently secured a 3-2 victory over Sarmiento.

Match fact

Banfield's recent scorers

In Banfield's 3-2 victory over Sarmiento in matchday 2, Tiziano Perrotta scored twice alongside a goal from Bruno Sepúlveda.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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