Racing Club Avellaneda — CA Sarmiento Junin: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.9% |
| 12 | 72.7% | |
| X2 | 46.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.9% / 50.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.9% / 9.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.2% / 25.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.5% / 52.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.8% / 74.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 14.09.2026 away Huracan 1:2
- 07.09.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 1:2
- 31.08.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 1:3
- 24.08.2026 home Boca Juniors 1:1
- 15.08.2026 home Banfield 0:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 13.09.2026 home Belgrano 1:1
- 04.09.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:0
- 28.08.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 1:4
- 23.08.2026 home Estudiantes L.P. 2:0
- 16.08.2026 home Huracan 2:0
This season: Racing Club Avellaneda at home vs CA Sarmiento Junin away
| Metric | Racing Club Avellaneda · at home | CA Sarmiento Junin · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 3–4–5 | 3–0–9 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 11.03.2026 CA Sarmiento Junin 0:0 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 24.07.2024 CA Sarmiento Junin 1:0 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 05.03.2024 Racing Club Avellaneda 0:1 CA Sarmiento Junin
- 20.10.2023 CA Sarmiento Junin 1:1 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 12.03.2023 Racing Club Avellaneda 1:0 CA Sarmiento Junin
- 03.07.2022 CA Sarmiento Junin 1:1 Racing Club Avellaneda
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Racing Club Avellaneda have a slight edge over CA Sarmiento Junin, although the low confidence level points to a match with no clear-cut outcome. The home side may be better positioned to control periods of the game, but the difference between the teams appears limited and a draw remains a credible possibility.
The scoring outlook is medium, suggesting a match that could produce a measured number of chances rather than an open contest from the start. Whether both teams score is difficult to assess, with the available signal essentially balanced. Racing Club Avellaneda could prevail through greater control and defensive discipline, while CA Sarmiento Junin have a realistic opportunity to keep the game close. Overall, the matchup leans slightly toward the hosts, but the evidence supports caution rather than a strong prediction.
What matters before kick-off
Clausura fixture in Avellaneda
Racing Club host CA Sarmiento Junin at the Estadio Presidente Perón (Cilindro de Avellaneda) in the Primera LPF Clausura. Leandro Rey Hilfer has been appointed as the match referee.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.