Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata — CA Banfield: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.0% |
| 12 | 73.8% | |
| X2 | 43.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.9% / 52.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.0% / 9.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.6% / 26.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.0% / 53.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.4% / 74.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.6% / 88.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.6% / 95.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 13.09.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 1:1
- 05.09.2026 home Tigre 2:1
- 29.08.2026 away Rosario Central 2:1
- 22.08.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 2:3
- 15.08.2026 away Estudiantes L.P. 0:4
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 14.09.2026 home Barracas Central 1:1
- 05.09.2026 away Aldosivi 1:3
- 30.08.2026 home River Plate 2:3
- 23.08.2026 away Newells Old Boys 1:2
- 15.08.2026 away Racing Club 1:0
This season: Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata at home vs CA Banfield away
| Metric | Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata · at home | CA Banfield · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 13 |
| W–D–L | 7–1–4 | 2–2–9 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 0.77 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.17 | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 46% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 54% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 11.03.2026 CA Banfield 1:2 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
- 26.05.2024 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 3:0 CA Banfield
- 14.04.2024 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 1:2 CA Banfield
- 25.11.2023 CA Banfield 2:0 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
- 12.02.2023 CA Banfield 0:0 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
- 09.10.2022 CA Banfield 0:2 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata have a slight edge over CA Banfield in this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The assessment gives the hosts a high-confidence advantage, although the projected balance remains relatively close rather than pointing to a dominant performance. The 1X signal supports Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata avoiding defeat, while the scoring outlook suggests a match with a moderate number of goals.
The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 1:0 and 2:0, which reflects both the home lean and the possibility of a competitive contest. A draw remains a meaningful possibility, particularly given the indication that both teams scoring is evenly balanced. Overall, Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata appear better positioned, but CA Banfield have a realistic chance of keeping the game level and limiting the hosts' advantage.
What matters before kick-off
Gimnasia and Banfield Recent Results
Gimnasia La Plata enter Matchday 10 of Torneo Clausura's Zone B in 3rd place following a 1-1 draw against Argentinos Juniors. CA Banfield sit in the lower section of the group table after drawing 1-1 against Barracas Central in their last fixture.
CA Banfield Managerial Context
Ahead of the match, CA Banfield head coach Pedro Troglio tendered his resignation, but the club's board chose not to accept it, making the game against Gimnasia critical for his continuation.
Contract Extension for Marcelo Torres
Ahead of the encounter, Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata officially announced the contract extension of forward Marcelo Torres through December 2029.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.