Match intelligence

CA River Plate (ARG) — CA Huracan: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
CA River Plate (ARG)1
:
2CA Huracan
Locked signal W1 Probability 64.9% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 64.9% Home win CA River Plate (ARG)
X 24.8% Draw
W2 10.2% Away win CA Huracan
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X89.1%
Both teams to score
No58.9%
Totals 2.5
Under56.1%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X89.1%
1274.4%
X236.5%
Both teams to scoreYes/No41.1% / 58.9%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 89.5% / 10.5%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 71.6% / 28.4%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 43.9% / 56.1%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 22.8% / 77.2%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 10.0% / 90.0%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 3.8% / 96.2%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA River Plate (ARG) × CA Huracan
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 10.5%
0:1 3.9%
0:2 1.8%
0:3 0.4%
0:4 0.1%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 14.0%
1:1 11.8%
1:2 3.2%
1:3 0.7%
1:4 0.1%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 14.1%
2:1 9.0%
2:2 2.9%
2:3 0.6%
2:4 0.1%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 8.4%
3:1 5.4%
3:2 1.7%
3:3 0.4%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 3.8%
4:1 2.4%
4:2 0.8%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 1.4%
5:1 0.9%
5:2 0.3%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
2:014.1%
1:014.0%
1:111.8%
0:010.5%
2:19.0%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 12.09.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 2:1
  • 06.09.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 3:1
  • 30.08.2026 away Banfield 3:2
  • 23.08.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 2:2
  • 16.08.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 2:0

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 14.09.2026 home Racing Club 2:1
  • 04.09.2026 away Belgrano 1:1
  • 29.08.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1:1
  • 23.08.2026 home Dep. Riestra 0:0
  • 16.08.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 0:2

This season: CA River Plate (ARG) at home vs CA Huracan away

Metric CA River Plate (ARG) · at home CA Huracan · away
Matches1714
W–D–L9–2–62–9–3
Goals scored per match1.590.79
Goals conceded per match1.000.79
Over 2.5 goals41%14%
Both teams scored41%43%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA River Plate (ARG) wins2
Draws1
CA Huracan wins3
Goals per match2.83
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
  • 13.03.2026 CA Huracan 1:2 CA River Plate (ARG)
  • 11.08.2024 CA River Plate (ARG) 1:1 CA Huracan
  • 29.03.2024 CA Huracan 1:0 CA River Plate (ARG)
  • 04.11.2023 CA River Plate (ARG) 1:2 CA Huracan
  • 09.04.2023 CA Huracan 0:3 CA River Plate (ARG)
  • 04.07.2022 CA Huracan 3:2 CA River Plate (ARG)

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA River Plate (ARG) enter this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture with a clear but moderate edge over CA Huracan. The available assessment points toward the hosts being stronger overall, while the expected match profile is medium-scoring rather than an open contest with a high volume of goals. That suggests CA River Plate (ARG) may be able to control the game through its superiority without necessarily turning it into a one-sided spectacle.

A clean sheet for CA River Plate (ARG) is considered likely, making a home win with limited scoring the central scenario. The most plausible scorelines are 1:0 and 2:0, although 1:1 remains a realistic alternative if CA Huracan can resist the hosts' pressure and take advantage of its opportunities. The overall reading favours CA River Plate (ARG), but the moderate confidence indicates that the match still contains some uncertainty, particularly if the opening goal is delayed.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Torneo Clausura 2026 round 10 clash

CA River Plate hosts CA Huracan at Estadio Mas Monumental in round 10 of Zone B in the 2026 Argentine Torneo Clausura.

Availability

Anibal Moreno unavailable for River Plate

River Plate midfielder Anibal Moreno misses the match as he continues his recovery from a lumbar disc issue.

Match fact

Teams level on points ahead of kickoff

Both clubs entered round 10 tied on 13 points, with River Plate coming off a 2-1 win against Atletico Tucuman and Huracan having beaten Racing Club 2-1.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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