Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza — Deportivo Riestra AFBC: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.7% |
| 12 | 66.1% | |
| X2 | 59.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 42.4% / 57.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 85.2% / 14.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 62.9% / 37.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 33.8% / 66.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 15.3% / 84.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 5.8% / 94.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.9% / 98.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 11.09.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 0:2
- 05.09.2026 home Boca Juniors 2:2
- 30.08.2026 away Independiente 3:0
- 22.08.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 3:2
- 18.08.2026 home Talleres Cordoba 3:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 14.09.2026 home Lanus 0:3
- 04.09.2026 away Platense 1:1
- 29.08.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 1:1
- 23.08.2026 away Huracan 0:0
- 15.08.2026 away Newells Old Boys 0:2
This season: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza at home vs Deportivo Riestra AFBC away
| Metric | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza · at home | Deportivo Riestra AFBC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 7–2–3 | 0–5–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.42 | 0.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.92 | 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 8% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 25% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 12.03.2026 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 0:0 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza enter this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture with a slight but credible edge over Deportivo Riestra AFBC. The available assessment points toward a cautious contest, with the home side more likely to control the match without necessarily creating a wide gap between the teams. That balance suggests the visitors could remain competitive for long periods, particularly if the game develops at a measured tempo.
The strongest theme is a low-scoring match, with a clean sheet considered likely. This makes defensive organisation and the opening goal especially important, as there may be limited opportunities for either side to recover from an early setback. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza are favoured to avoid defeat, while Deportivo Riestra AFBC may focus on limiting space and keeping the game close. A narrow home win or a draw fits the overall profile, rather than an open encounter with frequent chances.
What matters before kick-off
Match in Mendoza
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza host Deportivo Riestra in Torneo Clausura action at the Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.