Match intelligence

CA Central Cordoba SE — Defensa y Justicia: Win probabilities, 18.09.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
CA Central Cordoba SE2
:
2Defensa y Justicia
Locked signal 1X Probability 67.1% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 35.4% Home win CA Central Cordoba SE
X 31.7% Draw
W2 32.9% Away win Defensa y Justicia
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1268.3%
Both teams to score
Yes50.9%
Totals 2.5
Under56.9%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X67.1%
1268.3%
X264.6%
Both teams to scoreYes/No50.9% / 49.1%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 88.9% / 11.1%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 71.3% / 28.7%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 43.1% / 56.9%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 22.2% / 77.8%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 9.6% / 90.4%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 3.6% / 96.4%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Central Cordoba SE × Defensa y Justicia
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 11.1%
0:1 8.6%
0:2 6.2%
0:3 2.4%
0:4 0.7%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 9.1%
1:1 15.1%
1:2 7.7%
1:3 3.0%
1:4 0.9%
1:5 0.2%
2
2:0 6.8%
2:1 8.0%
2:2 4.7%
2:3 1.8%
2:4 0.5%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 2.8%
3:1 3.3%
3:2 1.9%
3:3 0.8%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 0.9%
4:1 1.0%
4:2 0.6%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.2%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:115.1%
0:011.1%
1:09.1%
0:18.6%
2:18.0%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 18.09.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 12.09.2026 away Boca Juniors 1:3
  • 06.09.2026 home Independiente 0:1
  • 30.08.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 0:0
  • 24.08.2026 away Tigre 1:2
  • 17.08.2026 home Instituto 0:1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 11.09.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 2:0
  • 06.09.2026 away Lanus 0:1
  • 31.08.2026 home Platense 1:0
  • 23.08.2026 away Belgrano 2:1
  • 17.08.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 1:1

This season: CA Central Cordoba SE at home vs Defensa y Justicia away

Metric CA Central Cordoba SE · at home Defensa y Justicia · away
Matches1212
W–D–L5–1–64–3–5
Goals scored per match0.921.17
Goals conceded per match1.081.42
Over 2.5 goals25%50%
Both teams scored25%50%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Central Cordoba SE wins3
Draws2
Defensa y Justicia wins1
Goals per match2.50
Both teams scored5/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
  • 12.03.2026 Defensa y Justicia 1:1 CA Central Cordoba SE
  • 28.07.2025 CA Central Cordoba SE 2:1 Defensa y Justicia
  • 03.02.2025 Defensa y Justicia 2:1 CA Central Cordoba SE
  • 11.08.2024 CA Central Cordoba SE 2:0 Defensa y Justicia
  • 20.02.2024 Defensa y Justicia 1:1 CA Central Cordoba SE
  • 24.09.2023 CA Central Cordoba SE 2:1 Defensa y Justicia

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Central Cordoba SE and Defensa y Justicia look evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment gives only moderate confidence, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That points toward a cautious contest in which control and defensive organisation may matter more than sustained attacking pressure.

The match is expected to be low-scoring, with 1:1, 0:0 and 0:1 among the likeliest scorelines. Both teams scoring is difficult to separate, so the game could remain level if neither side finds an early opening. Defensa y Justicia have a slight edge in the broader outcome signal, but the balance of the matchup suggests a narrow margin rather than a decisive difference.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Torneo Clausura Matchday 10

CA Central Córdoba and Defensa y Justicia face each other on September 18, 2026, in Matchday 10 of the Torneo Clausura. The match takes place in Santiago del Estero with referee Pablo Echavarría and Fernando Espinoza in charge of VAR.

Team news

Recent form of both teams

Central Córdoba are looking to break a negative run after suffering four defeats in their last five Torneo Clausura matches. Meanwhile, Defensa y Justicia enter the match in solid form with three wins and a draw in their previous five games.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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