Match intelligence

Instituto AC Cordoba — CA Talleres de Cordoba: Win probabilities, 20.09.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Instituto AC Cordoba3
:
1CA Talleres de Cordoba
Locked signal 1X Probability 79.6% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 49.4% Home win Instituto AC Cordoba
X 30.2% Draw
W2 20.4% Away win CA Talleres de Cordoba
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X79.6%
Both teams to score
No58.9%
Totals 2.5
Under64.2%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X79.6%
1269.8%
X250.6%
Both teams to scoreYes/No41.1% / 58.9%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 87.0% / 13.0%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 63.8% / 36.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 35.8% / 64.2%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 16.7% / 83.3%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 6.5% / 93.5%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 2.2% / 97.8%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Instituto AC Cordoba × CA Talleres de Cordoba
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 13.0%
0:1 8.2%
0:2 3.6%
0:3 0.9%
0:4 0.2%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 15.0%
1:1 13.6%
1:2 4.8%
1:3 1.3%
1:4 0.2%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 10.9%
2:1 8.4%
2:2 3.3%
2:3 0.8%
2:4 0.2%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 4.9%
3:1 3.8%
3:2 1.5%
3:3 0.4%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 1.7%
4:1 1.3%
4:2 0.5%
4:3 0.1%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.4%
5:1 0.3%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:015.0%
1:113.6%
0:013.0%
2:010.9%
2:18.4%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 20.09.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 15.09.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:1
  • 08.09.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 2:3
  • 01.09.2026 home San Lorenzo 1:0
  • 22.08.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 0:0
  • 17.08.2026 away Central Cordoba 1:0

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 13.09.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 2:1
  • 05.09.2026 away San Lorenzo 0:1
  • 30.08.2026 home Central Cordoba 0:0
  • 25.08.2026 home Rosario Central 2:2
  • 18.08.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 1:3

This season: Instituto AC Cordoba at home vs CA Talleres de Cordoba away

Metric Instituto AC Cordoba · at home CA Talleres de Cordoba · away
Matches1213
W–D–L8–1–34–4–5
Goals scored per match1.421.00
Goals conceded per match0.831.00
Over 2.5 goals50%38%
Both teams scored50%46%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

Instituto AC Cordoba wins1
Draws4
CA Talleres de Cordoba wins1
Goals per match1.83
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
  • 12.03.2026 CA Talleres de Cordoba 2:0 Instituto AC Cordoba
  • 16.11.2025 Instituto AC Cordoba 0:0 CA Talleres de Cordoba
  • 03.05.2025 CA Talleres de Cordoba 1:2 Instituto AC Cordoba
  • 03.08.2024 CA Talleres de Cordoba 1:1 Instituto AC Cordoba
  • 12.02.2024 Instituto AC Cordoba 2:2 CA Talleres de Cordoba
  • 17.09.2023 CA Talleres de Cordoba 0:0 Instituto AC Cordoba

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Instituto AC Cordoba have a slight edge over CA Talleres de Cordoba in this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture. The assessment points toward a relatively balanced contest, but with the hosts holding the stronger overall position. That advantage is not large enough to remove the possibility of a draw, making protection against defeat a relevant part of the outlook.

The match is expected to produce a moderate amount of scoring rather than an open, high-scoring game. Whether both teams find the net is finely balanced, so neither a clean sheet nor goals at both ends should be treated as the dominant scenario. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1 and 1:0, with 0:0 also consistent with the cautious balance of the forecast. Overall, Instituto AC Cordoba have the more favourable assessment, while CA Talleres de Cordoba remain capable of taking a result.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Recent Match Results

Instituto enter matchday 10 of the Torneo Clausura following a 2–1 victory against Estudiantes de Río Cuarto. CA Talleres de Córdoba also won their previous fixture 2–1 against Unión de Santa Fe.

Match fact

Instituto's Home Record

Instituto enter the match with a strong home record in the current Clausura tournament, having won all 4 of their home matches so far.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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