Racing Club Avellaneda — CA Belgrano de Cordoba: Win probabilities, 11.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.8% |
| 12 | 68.1% | |
| X2 | 60.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.7% / 53.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.7% / 12.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.3% / 32.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 38.9% / 61.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 18.9% / 81.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.7% / 92.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.7% / 97.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.10.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:1
- 19.09.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 3:1
- 14.09.2026 away Huracan 1:2
- 07.09.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 1:2
- 31.08.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 1:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.10.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 1:0
- 20.09.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:1
- 13.09.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 1:1
- 04.09.2026 home Huracan 1:1
- 30.08.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 0:0
This season: Racing Club Avellaneda at home vs CA Belgrano de Cordoba away
| Metric | Racing Club Avellaneda · at home | CA Belgrano de Cordoba · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 16 |
| W–D–L | 4–4–5 | 7–7–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.15 | 0.94 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.23 | 0.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 69% | 38% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 22.03.2026 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1:2 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 20.07.2025 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0:1 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 30.01.2025 Racing Club Avellaneda 4:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
- 12.05.2024 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 4:4 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 16.04.2024 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0:4 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 28.11.2023 Racing Club Avellaneda 4:1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
ano de Cordoba in the Primera LPF, Clausura, with the home side holding a slight edge ahead of kickoff. The assessment points towards a competitive encounter rather than a one-sided contest, with Racing Club Avellaneda having a modest advantage in the overall outlook. Despite the relatively high confidence in this assessment, the narrow difference between the teams suggests that the match could remain closely contested throughout.
A medium-scoring game appears the most plausible scenario, with neither side expected to dominate the scoring picture. Both teams scoring remains difficult to call, making a match in which one or both sides struggle to find the net a realistic possibility. The leading scoreline scenarios reflect this uncertainty, with a one-all draw, a goalless stalemate and a narrow home victory all featuring among the main possibilities. Racing Club Avellaneda therefore have reason to be viewed more favourably, but CA Belgrano de Cordoba remain capable of making the contest difficult. Overall, the balance leans towards the hosts avoiding defeat, while a draw remains a credible outcome in what could be a tactically cautious encounter.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.