Match intelligence

CA Talleres de Cordoba — CA Independiente Avellaneda: Win probabilities, 12.10.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
CA Talleres de Cordoba0
:
0CA Independiente Avellaneda
Locked signal 1X Probability 68.9% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 37.8% Home win CA Talleres de Cordoba
X 31.1% Draw
W2 31.1% Away win CA Independiente Avellaneda
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X68.9%
Both teams to score
No52.8%
Totals 2.5
Under60.4%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X68.9%
1268.9%
X262.2%
Both teams to scoreYes/No47.2% / 52.8%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 88.4% / 11.6%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 67.5% / 32.5%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 39.6% / 60.4%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 19.4% / 80.6%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 8.0% / 92.0%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 2.8% / 97.2%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Talleres de Cordoba × CA Independiente Avellaneda
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 11.6%
0:1 9.7%
0:2 5.9%
0:3 2.1%
0:4 0.6%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 11.1%
1:1 14.6%
1:2 7.1%
1:3 2.5%
1:4 0.7%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 7.5%
2:1 8.0%
2:2 4.3%
2:3 1.5%
2:4 0.4%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 3.0%
3:1 3.2%
3:2 1.7%
3:3 0.6%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 0.9%
4:1 1.0%
4:2 0.5%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.2%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.6%
0:011.6%
1:011.1%
0:19.7%
2:18.0%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 12.10.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 04.10.2026 home Belgrano 0:1
  • 20.09.2026 away Instituto 1:3
  • 13.09.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 2:1
  • 05.09.2026 away San Lorenzo 0:1
  • 30.08.2026 home Central Cordoba 0:0

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 02.10.2026 home Instituto 1:4
  • 19.09.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 2:1
  • 13.09.2026 home San Lorenzo 1:1
  • 06.09.2026 away Central Cordoba 1:0
  • 30.08.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 0:3

This season: CA Talleres de Cordoba at home vs CA Independiente Avellaneda away

Metric CA Talleres de Cordoba · at home CA Independiente Avellaneda · away
Matches1414
W–D–L5–3–66–3–5
Goals scored per match1.001.29
Goals conceded per match1.141.21
Over 2.5 goals50%43%
Both teams scored43%64%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Talleres de Cordoba wins4
Draws1
CA Independiente Avellaneda wins1
Goals per match4.00
Both teams scored6/6
Over 2.5 goals6/6
  • 21.03.2026 CA Independiente Avellaneda 1:2 CA Talleres de Cordoba
  • 21.07.2025 CA Independiente Avellaneda 1:2 CA Talleres de Cordoba
  • 29.01.2025 CA Talleres de Cordoba 2:3 CA Independiente Avellaneda
  • 11.05.2024 CA Independiente Avellaneda 1:3 CA Talleres de Cordoba
  • 16.04.2024 CA Independiente Avellaneda 2:2 CA Talleres de Cordoba
  • 26.11.2023 CA Talleres de Cordoba 3:2 CA Independiente Avellaneda

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Independiente Avellaneda in the Primera LPF, Clausura, with both sides appearing evenly matched ahead of kickoff. The available assessment points to a competitive contest in which neither team has a decisive advantage. CA Talleres de Cordoba may have a slight benefit from playing at home, but the overall balance of the matchup suggests that the visitors have a reasonable opportunity to remain competitive. With moderate confidence in this assessment, the outcome remains open rather than clearly favoring either side.

The scoring outlook points toward a medium-scoring match, with a level contest among the more plausible scenarios. A 1-1 draw is a notable possibility, while a goalless stalemate or a narrow home win would also fit the expected pattern. Whether both teams find the net is difficult to call, making that aspect of the matchup particularly uncertain. CA Talleres de Cordoba and CA Independiente Avellaneda may therefore need to rely on efficient finishing and disciplined defensive work to gain an advantage. Overall, a closely contested encounter appears the most reasonable expectation, with limited grounds to favor a decisive victory for either team.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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