CA Platense — Argentinos Juniors: Win probabilities, 11.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 61.4% |
| 12 | 67.7% | |
| X2 | 70.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 43.5% / 56.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 86.6% / 13.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 63.6% / 36.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 35.3% / 64.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 16.3% / 83.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 6.3% / 93.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.1% / 97.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.10.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 2:2
- 20.09.2026 home Newells Old Boys 0:1
- 12.09.2026 away Estudiantes L.P. 1:2
- 04.09.2026 home Dep. Riestra 1:1
- 31.08.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 0:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.10.2026 home Tigre 2:1
- 20.09.2026 away Rosario Central 0:1
- 13.09.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 1:1
- 07.09.2026 away Barracas Central 0:0
- 30.08.2026 home Aldosivi 2:1
This season: CA Platense at home vs Argentinos Juniors away
| Metric | CA Platense · at home | Argentinos Juniors · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 13 |
| W–D–L | 2–5–6 | 4–4–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.62 | 0.92 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.31 | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 23% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 46% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 23.03.2026 Argentinos Juniors 1:0 CA Platense
- 26.07.2025 CA Platense 0:0 Argentinos Juniors
- 04.02.2025 Argentinos Juniors 1:0 CA Platense
- 27.10.2024 CA Platense 2:1 Argentinos Juniors
- 26.02.2024 Argentinos Juniors 3:1 CA Platense
- 03.10.2023 CA Platense 0:0 Argentinos Juniors
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
looks evenly balanced. With moderate confidence in the assessment, neither side has a decisive advantage, suggesting a closely contested match in which small details could influence the outcome. The overall outlook points towards a cautious encounter rather than an open, high-scoring contest.
A low-scoring game appears the most plausible scenario, with limited goals expected and a clean sheet a realistic possibility. The main scoreline scenarios include a goalless draw, a narrow away victory for Argentinos Juniors, or a draw in which both teams find the net. These possibilities reflect the balanced nature of the matchup and the expectation that clear scoring opportunities may be limited. CA Platense will look to make the most of its home advantage, while Argentinos Juniors has a slight edge in the overall directional assessment. However, the difference between the sides remains narrow, and a draw is a credible outcome. The key question is whether either team can find the breakthrough in what is expected to be a measured contest.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.