CA River Plate (ARG) — Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: Win probabilities, 11.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 96.1% |
| 12 | 86.5% | |
| X2 | 17.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 28.3% / 71.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.6% / 6.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.8% / 23.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.4% / 69.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.9% / 85.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.3% / 93.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Huracan 1:2
- 12.09.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 2:1
- 06.09.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 3:1
- 30.08.2026 away Banfield 3:2
- 23.08.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 2:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.10.2026 home Racing Club 1:2
- 20.09.2026 away Belgrano 1:2
- 15.09.2026 away Instituto 1:2
- 04.09.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 0:2
- 29.08.2026 away Huracan 1:1
This season: CA River Plate (ARG) at home vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto away
| Metric | CA River Plate (ARG) · at home | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 18 | 13 |
| W–D–L | 9–2–7 | 0–2–11 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.56 | 0.38 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.06 | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 46% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 38% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 22.03.2026 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0:2 CA River Plate (ARG)
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA River Plate (ARG) host Estudiantes Rio Cuarto in the Clausura stage of the Primera LPF, and the recent form lines point strongly in one direction. The hosts arrive with three wins and a draw in their last five, scoring eleven goals in that stretch, while the visitors have taken just one point from their last five matches and conceded nine over the same run. On paper, the hosts look clearly stronger heading into this fixture.
The away record only reinforces that picture. Across thirteen trips this season, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto have yet to win a match on the road, collecting two draws and eleven defeats while shipping twenty-four goals. CA River Plate (ARG) are not flawless at home either, with nine wins from eighteen matches and some defensive lapses along the way, but the gap in travelling output is considerable and sets a clear baseline for expectations.
The sides have met once before, with CA River Plate (ARG) winning 2-0 earlier in 2026, and neither team found the net for the visitors in that encounter. A medium-scoring contest tilted toward the hosts fits the pattern, with a clean sheet at one end plausible given how little Estudiantes Rio Cuarto have produced away from home.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.