Match intelligence

CA Barracas Central — CA Huracan: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
CA Barracas Central2
:
0CA Huracan
Locked signal X2 Probability 69.4% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 30.6% Home win CA Barracas Central
X 34.7% Draw
W2 34.7% Away win CA Huracan
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X271.0%
Both teams to score
No56.9%
Totals 2.5
Under66.0%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X63.1%
1265.9%
X271.0%
Both teams to scoreYes/No43.1% / 56.9%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 85.3% / 14.7%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 63.0% / 37.0%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 34.0% / 66.0%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 15.4% / 84.6%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 5.8% / 94.2%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 1.9% / 98.1%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Barracas Central × CA Huracan
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 14.7%
0:1 12.2%
0:2 7.8%
0:3 2.9%
0:4 0.8%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 10.2%
1:1 15.4%
1:2 7.4%
1:3 2.7%
1:4 0.8%
1:5 0.2%
2
2:0 5.8%
2:1 6.4%
2:2 3.5%
2:3 1.3%
2:4 0.4%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 1.8%
3:1 2.0%
3:2 1.1%
3:3 0.4%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 0.4%
4:1 0.5%
4:2 0.3%
4:3 0.1%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.1%
5:1 0.1%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:115.4%
0:014.7%
0:112.2%
1:010.2%
0:27.8%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 10.10.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 03.10.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 3:2
  • 21.09.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 0:1
  • 14.09.2026 away Banfield 1:1
  • 07.09.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 0:0
  • 01.09.2026 away Tigre 0:0

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 04.10.2026 home Aldosivi 1:0
  • 19.09.2026 away River Plate 2:1
  • 14.09.2026 home Racing Club 2:1
  • 04.09.2026 away Belgrano 1:1
  • 29.08.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1:1

This season: CA Barracas Central at home vs CA Huracan away

Metric CA Barracas Central · at home CA Huracan · away
Matches1315
W–D–L4–3–63–9–3
Goals scored per match0.850.87
Goals conceded per match0.920.80
Over 2.5 goals38%20%
Both teams scored46%47%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Barracas Central wins2
Draws3
CA Huracan wins1
Goals per match1.00
Both teams scored1/6
Over 2.5 goals0/6
  • 24.03.2026 CA Huracan 0:0 CA Barracas Central
  • 17.11.2025 CA Barracas Central 1:1 CA Huracan
  • 04.05.2025 CA Huracan 0:1 CA Barracas Central
  • 04.06.2024 CA Barracas Central 0:2 CA Huracan
  • 17.03.2024 CA Barracas Central 1:0 CA Huracan
  • 31.10.2023 CA Huracan 0:0 CA Barracas Central

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · Claude Opus 4.7

CA Barracas Central welcome CA Huracan in a Primera LPF Clausura fixture that, on the available evidence, looks finely balanced. The hosts arrive in uneven form, with one win, three draws and a defeat across their last five, and a home record this season of four wins, three draws and six defeats from thirteen outings. CA Huracan, by contrast, are unbeaten in their last five, having taken three wins and two draws, while on the road they have drawn nine of fifteen matches — a pattern of resilience rather than dominance.

The head-to-head record reinforces that cautious reading. In six meetings, the sides have shared three draws, and only one has featured both teams scoring, with none going past two and a half goals. Their most recent encounter ended goalless, with CA Huracan hosting CA Barracas Central in 2026. Goals, historically, have been scarce when these two meet.

Taken together, the signals point to an evenly matched contest with a modest edge in solidity to the visitors, given their unbeaten run and strong defensive discipline away from home. A low-scoring game, possibly without goals at either end, would sit comfortably within the pattern established by both recent form and this fixture's history.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Torneo Clausura Round 12 fixture

CA Barracas Central hosts CA Huracán in round 12 of the Torneo Clausura 2026 at the Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia. Barracas Central enters the fixture following a 3-2 victory against Atlético Tucumán, while CA Huracán won 1-0 against Aldosivi in their previous league match.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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