CA Tigre — CA Banfield: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 84.2% |
| 12 | 71.2% | |
| X2 | 44.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 45.4% / 54.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.8% / 11.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 71.1% / 28.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 42.9% / 57.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 22.0% / 78.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.5% / 90.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.5% / 96.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 10.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.10.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 1:2
- 21.09.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 2:3
- 13.09.2026 home Rosario Central 0:1
- 05.09.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 1:2
- 01.09.2026 home Barracas Central 0:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.10.2026 home Rosario Central 1:1
- 19.09.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 2:2
- 14.09.2026 home Barracas Central 1:1
- 05.09.2026 away Aldosivi 1:3
- 30.08.2026 home River Plate 2:3
This season: CA Tigre at home vs CA Banfield away
| Metric | CA Tigre · at home | CA Banfield · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 5–6–2 | 2–3–9 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.08 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.77 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 23% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 57% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 21.03.2026 CA Banfield 1:0 CA Tigre
- 29.08.2025 CA Banfield 1:0 CA Tigre
- 25.02.2025 CA Tigre 1:0 CA Banfield
- 18.11.2024 CA Banfield 0:1 CA Tigre
- 05.07.2023 CA Tigre 1:2 CA Banfield
- 19.06.2022 CA Tigre 0:1 CA Banfield
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Tigre host CA Banfield in the Clausura at a moment when neither side arrives with much momentum. The hosts have gone through a difficult run of their last five matches, taking only one point from a possible fifteen, with four defeats and a single draw. Yet their home record across the season tells a different story: in 13 matches at their own ground they have five wins and six draws, losing only twice, which keeps them competitive in this fixture despite the recent slump.
CA Banfield, for their part, have not won any of their last five either, holding on for three draws but struggling for away form in general. On the road this season they have taken just two wins from fourteen trips, shipping 21 goals in the process. The head-to-head picture complicates matters: across the last six meetings CA Banfield have won four to CA Tigre's two, and the most recent encounter went 1-0 in favour of the visitors.
Weighing solid home numbers against a poor overall patch and an unfavourable record against this specific opponent, the balance tilts marginally toward CA Tigre, but only just. A tight, measured contest with modest scoring looks the most natural reading.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.