CA Central Cordoba SE — Estudiantes de La Plata: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 55.3% |
| 12 | 68.5% | |
| X2 | 76.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 45.0% / 55.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.4% / 12.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 66.5% / 33.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 38.1% / 61.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 18.3% / 81.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.4% / 92.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.6% / 97.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 10.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.10.2026 away Dep. Riestra 1:1
- 18.09.2026 home Defensa y Justicia 2:2
- 12.09.2026 away Boca Juniors 1:3
- 06.09.2026 home Independiente 0:1
- 30.08.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 0:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.10.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 3:0
- 22.09.2026 away Lanus 1:2
- 12.09.2026 home Platense 2:1
- 06.09.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 0:1
- 31.08.2026 home Newells Old Boys 0:0
This season: CA Central Cordoba SE at home vs Estudiantes de La Plata away
| Metric | CA Central Cordoba SE · at home | Estudiantes de La Plata · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 13 |
| W–D–L | 5–2–6 | 4–3–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.69 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 31% | 23% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 23.03.2026 Estudiantes de La Plata 5:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
- 30.11.2025 CA Central Cordoba SE 0:1 Estudiantes de La Plata
- 30.08.2025 CA Central Cordoba SE 2:0 Estudiantes de La Plata
- 21.02.2025 Estudiantes de La Plata 3:2 CA Central Cordoba SE
- 10.11.2024 CA Central Cordoba SE 1:1 Estudiantes de La Plata
- 06.04.2024 Estudiantes de La Plata 5:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Central Cordoba SE arrive without a win in their last five matches, collecting three draws and two defeats while being outscored 7-4 in that stretch. Their home record this season is mixed: thirteen matches have brought five wins alongside six losses, and the goal balance of 13 scored against 15 conceded suggests a side that struggles to control games on its own ground. The lack of recent wins points to a team low on momentum heading into this fixture.
Estudiantes de La Plata are only marginally steadier on the road, with four wins and six losses from thirteen away outings and a negative goal difference. Their last five results read W L W L D, a return that reflects inconsistency rather than form. However, the head-to-head picture tilts firmly in their favour: four wins from the last six meetings, including a 5-0 victory in the most recent encounter.
Taken together, these threads suggest a cautious, low-scoring contest between two sides who have been difficult to separate on current form. The historical pattern gives a slight edge to Estudiantes de La Plata, but CA Central Cordoba SE's defensive stability at home in recent weeks points towards a tight margin, with the balance of signals leaning gently away from the hosts.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.