Racing Club Avellaneda — CA Banfield: Win probabilities, 14.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 85.8% |
| 12 | 73.6% | |
| X2 | 40.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 39.9% / 60.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.9% / 11.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.5% / 32.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 39.9% / 60.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.7% / 80.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.2% / 91.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.9% / 97.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 14.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.08.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 1:2
- 02.08.2026 home Tigre 1:3
- 29.07.2026 away Rosario Central 0:0
- 24.07.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 2:1
- 13.05.2026 away Rosario Central 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.08.2026 home Belgrano 0:2
- 01.08.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0:0
- 28.07.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 3:2
- 25.07.2026 away Huracan 0:1
- 02.05.2026 away Barracas Central 2:1
This season: Racing Club Avellaneda at home vs CA Banfield away
| Metric | Racing Club Avellaneda · at home | CA Banfield · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 3–3–3 | 1–2–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.11 | 0.70 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.22 | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 14.02.2026 CA Banfield 0:2 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 11.10.2025 CA Banfield 1:3 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 07.04.2025 Racing Club Avellaneda 4:1 CA Banfield
- 27.10.2024 CA Banfield 2:1 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 04.06.2023 Racing Club Avellaneda 2:0 CA Banfield
- 19.08.2022 CA Banfield 0:2 Racing Club Avellaneda
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Racing Club Avellaneda have a slight edge over CA Banfield in this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting, although the low confidence level suggests a closely balanced contest rather than a decisive home advantage. The available signals point toward a medium-scoring match, with the hosts marginally better positioned to control the outcome.
A clean sheet is considered likely, which makes a narrow result the most consistent reading of the preview. The main scorelines are 1-0 and 2-0 in favour of Racing Club Avellaneda, while 1-1 remains a plausible alternative if CA Banfield can resist sustained pressure and keep the match level. Overall, the analysis leans toward a home win, but the limited confidence calls for caution and leaves room for a tight, low-margin game.
What matters before kick-off
Racing Club missing key players
Racing Club head into the match without forward Adrián Martínez due to suspension and defender Marco Di Cesare following a fibular fracture in his right ankle.
Recent league form for both teams
Both Racing Club and CA Banfield enter matchday 5 of the Torneo Clausura with four points from four games, both coming off defeats in their previous league fixtures.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.