CA Platense — Boca Juniors: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 60.8% |
| 12 | 67.2% | |
| X2 | 72.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 38.7% / 61.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 84.7% / 15.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 58.3% / 41.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 30.5% / 69.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 13.1% / 86.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.4% / 98.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 away Independiente 1:0
- 03.08.2026 home Talleres Cordoba 0:4
- 30.07.2026 away Instituto 1:2
- 25.07.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 2:2
- 03.05.2026 home Estudiantes L.P. 0:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.08.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 1:1
- 05.08.2026 home Estudiantes L.P. 1:0
- 02.08.2026 away Newells Old Boys 2:2
- 26.07.2026 away Dep. Riestra 0:3
- 09.05.2026 home Huracan 1:1
This season: CA Platense at home vs Boca Juniors away
| Metric | CA Platense · at home | Boca Juniors · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 2–3–5 | 5–2–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 15.02.2026 Boca Juniors 0:0 CA Platense
- 02.06.2024 CA Platense 1:0 Boca Juniors
- 27.01.2024 CA Platense 0:0 Boca Juniors
- 19.08.2023 Boca Juniors 3:1 CA Platense
- 19.02.2023 Boca Juniors 3:1 CA Platense
- 07.08.2022 Boca Juniors 2:1 CA Platense
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Platense and Boca Juniors appear evenly matched heading into their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment gives no clear overall advantage to either side, while pointing toward a controlled contest in which defensive organisation may carry particular weight.
A low-scoring match is expected, with a clean sheet considered likely. The most plausible scorelines are 0:0, 0:1 and 1:1, suggesting limited attacking separation and a narrow margin between the teams. Overall, the outlook favours a cautious game, with the balance of play potentially remaining unresolved for long periods.
What matters before kick-off
Platense's recent results
Platense secured their first Clausura victory by defeating Independiente 1-0 away, followed by a 1-1 home draw against Coquimbo Unido in the Copa Libertadores.
Boca Juniors' recent results
Boca Juniors drew 1-1 against Vélez Sarsfield in their previous league fixture before securing a 3-1 victory over Paraguayan side Recoleta in the Copa Sudamericana.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.