CA Sarmiento Junin — CA Huracan: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 63.9% |
| 12 | 66.0% | |
| X2 | 70.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 33.2% / 66.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 81.9% / 18.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 24.7% / 75.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 9.6% / 90.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 3.1% / 96.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 0.8% / 99.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.08.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 2:1
- 03.08.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 2:1
- 28.07.2026 away Banfield 2:3
- 23.07.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 2:3
- 03.05.2026 away Belgrano 0:4
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 away San Lorenzo 2:0
- 04.08.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 0:0
- 30.07.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 1:2
- 25.07.2026 home Banfield 1:0
- 13.05.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 0:0
This season: CA Sarmiento Junin at home vs CA Huracan away
| Metric | CA Sarmiento Junin · at home | CA Huracan · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 6–1–3 | 2–8–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.30 | 0.83 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 42% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 14.02.2026 CA Huracan 1:0 CA Sarmiento Junin
- 05.10.2024 CA Huracan 3:1 CA Sarmiento Junin
- 21.05.2023 CA Sarmiento Junin 0:0 CA Huracan
- 12.08.2022 CA Huracan 4:1 CA Sarmiento Junin
- 13.09.2021 CA Sarmiento Junin 0:0 CA Huracan
- 12.04.2021 CA Huracan 3:0 CA Sarmiento Junin
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Sarmiento Junin and CA Huracan appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, so the balance between the sides should be treated with some caution rather than as a decisive advantage for either team. A draw is a credible outcome, while CA Huracan hold a slight edge in the broader result range.
The match is expected to be low-scoring, with limited space for either attack to establish clear control. A clean sheet is likely, which makes compact defensive organisation and patience in possession especially important. The most plausible scorelines are 0:0, 0:1 and 1:0, all of which reflect a contest where one moment could determine the outcome or where neither side finds a breakthrough. Overall, the forecast favours a restrained game, with CA Huracan avoiding defeat more likely than a clear victory for either team.
What matters before kick-off
Sarmiento enter on back-to-back league wins
Facundo Sava's Sarmiento Junín enter round 5 of the 2026 Clausura having secured back-to-back victories in the Liga Profesional.
Huracán coming off victory over San Lorenzo
Diego Martínez's Huracán head into this match following a 2-0 away victory over San Lorenzo in their prior Clausura fixture.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.