CA Central Cordoba SE — Instituto AC Cordoba: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 55.0% |
| 12 | 68.2% | |
| X2 | 76.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 45.4% / 54.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.3% / 12.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.1% / 32.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 38.5% / 61.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 18.6% / 81.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.5% / 92.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.6% / 97.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 11.08.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 2:1
- 04.08.2026 home San Lorenzo 1:0
- 31.07.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 0:2
- 24.07.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 0:1
- 02.05.2026 home Boca Juniors 1:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 1:0
- 03.08.2026 away Lanus 1:0
- 30.07.2026 home Platense 2:1
- 24.07.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 0:1
- 05.05.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:0
This season: CA Central Cordoba SE at home vs Instituto AC Cordoba away
| Metric | CA Central Cordoba SE · at home | Instituto AC Cordoba · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 5–1–4 | 3–2–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 30% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
- 16.02.2026 Instituto AC Cordoba 2:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
- 13.09.2024 CA Central Cordoba SE 2:1 Instituto AC Cordoba
- 29.04.2023 Instituto AC Cordoba 0:2 CA Central Cordoba SE
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Central Cordoba SE face Instituto AC Cordoba in the Primera LPF, Clausura, with the visitors holding a slight edge in the pre-match assessment. The overall signal points toward Instituto AC Cordoba avoiding defeat, although the balance of the game still leaves room for a draw. This suggests a controlled contest rather than one in which either side is expected to dominate consistently.
The scoring outlook is low, so clear chances may be limited and the match could be decided by small moments. Both teams scoring is considered finely balanced, which keeps several outcomes in play. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 0:0 and 0:1, reflecting a match where defensive structure and efficiency in front of goal may be more important than sustained attacking pressure. For CA Central Cordoba SE, home advantage offers a route into the contest, but Instituto AC Cordoba carry the stronger overall lean.
What matters before kick-off
Instituto's recent form
Instituto enter the match on a three-game winning streak in Torneo Clausura, having secured victories over Platense (2-1), Lanús (1-0), and Gimnasia Mendoza (1-0).
Central Córdoba's recent form
Central Córdoba head into the match following back-to-back league victories, defeating San Lorenzo 1-0 and Unión 2-1.
Match venue and referee
The match between Central Córdoba and Instituto takes place at Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades in Santiago del Estero with Darío Herrera appointed as head referee.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.