CA Barracas Central — CA Rosario Central: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 58.1% |
| 12 | 68.1% | |
| X2 | 73.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.8% / 12.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 68.5% / 31.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 39.9% / 60.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.7% / 80.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.2% / 91.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.9% / 97.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 0:2
- 02.08.2026 away Dep. Riestra 1:0
- 29.07.2026 home Aldosivi 1:0
- 25.07.2026 away River Plate 1:0
- 02.05.2026 home Banfield 1:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 07.08.2026 home Aldosivi 2:1
- 02.08.2026 away River Plate 1:0
- 29.07.2026 home Racing Club 0:0
- 23.07.2026 away Belgrano 1:2
- 16.05.2026 away River Plate 0:1
This season: CA Barracas Central at home vs CA Rosario Central away
| Metric | CA Barracas Central · at home | CA Rosario Central · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 4–2–3 | 5–2–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.11 | 1.09 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.89 | 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 45% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 55% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 16.02.2026 CA Rosario Central 2:0 CA Barracas Central
- 01.11.2024 CA Rosario Central 0:1 CA Barracas Central
- 28.03.2024 CA Rosario Central 1:2 CA Barracas Central
- 06.11.2023 CA Barracas Central 1:1 CA Rosario Central
- 09.06.2023 CA Barracas Central 0:0 CA Rosario Central
- 13.08.2022 CA Rosario Central 3:1 CA Barracas Central
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Barracas Central and CA Rosario Central look evenly matched ahead of this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts and visitors a similar overall outlook, with only moderate confidence in the reading. That points to a contest where small details may carry more weight than any clear difference between the sides.
The expected profile is low-scoring, making a tight opening and cautious approach plausible. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, so neither side has a clearly defined attacking advantage in the available data. The most likely scorelines include 1:1, 0:0, and 1:0, all of which reflect a match that could remain close throughout. The overall signal leans toward CA Barracas Central avoiding defeat, but the balanced assessment leaves a draw as a substantial possibility.
What matters before kick-off
Recent results heading into matchday 5
Heading into matchday 5 of the 2026 Clausura, Barracas Central suffered a 2-0 defeat away to Gimnasia after accumulating 9 points in four matches. Meanwhile, Rosario Central held 7 points in the league and came off a 0-0 draw against Corinthians.
Head-to-head record
Prior to this match, the two clubs had met 8 times in official competitions, with Barracas Central winning 4 times, Rosario Central winning twice, and 2 matches ending in a draw.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.