Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — Atletico Tucuman: Win probabilities, 17.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.0% |
| 12 | 66.6% | |
| X2 | 62.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 34.9% / 65.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 83.0% / 17.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 53.6% / 46.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 26.6% / 73.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 10.7% / 89.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 3.6% / 96.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.0% / 99.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 17.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.08.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 1:2
- 01.08.2026 home Banfield 0:0
- 29.07.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 0:3
- 25.07.2026 home Tigre 1:0
- 05.05.2026 home Instituto 0:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.08.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 1:2
- 04.08.2026 away Huracan 0:0
- 31.07.2026 away Central Cordoba 2:0
- 26.07.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 0:0
- 03.05.2026 away River Plate 1:0
This season: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto at home vs Atletico Tucuman away
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto · at home | Atletico Tucuman · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 2–2–6 | 2–1–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 60% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 15.02.2026 Atletico Tucuman 4:0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto face Atletico Tucuman in a Primera LPF, Clausura encounter that projects as a tightly contested and low-scoring match. The available assessment gives Atletico Tucuman a slight edge, although the expected balance remains close enough for a draw to be a serious possibility. The main signal points toward Atletico Tucuman avoiding defeat rather than towards a decisive away victory.
Scoring is expected to be limited, with a clean sheet considered likely. That suggests a match shaped by defensive discipline and cautious phases rather than sustained attacking exchanges. The most plausible scorelines include 1:1, 0:0 and 0:1, all of which reflect the narrow margins and modest goal expectation. Estudiantes Rio Cuarto should remain competitive, but Atletico Tucuman hold the stronger position in the overall assessment, particularly in a match where one moment could determine the outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Atlético Tucumán player availability
Maximiliano Villa remains sidelined for the match against Estudiantes Río Cuarto due to adductor muscle pain. Leandro Díaz (thigh tear) and Ramiro Ruíz Rodríguez (knee sprain) also miss out through injury.
Atlético Tucumán cup triumph
Ahead of facing Estudiantes Río Cuarto, Atlético Tucumán achieved a resounding 4-0 win against Independiente in the Copa Argentina round of 16.
Estudiantes Río Cuarto recent fixture
In their previous league match, Estudiantes Río Cuarto suffered a 2-1 away defeat against Independiente Rivadavia.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.