Match intelligence

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza — CA Talleres de Cordoba: Win probabilities, 18.08.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 29.8% Home win Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
X 32.0% Draw
W2 38.3% Away win CA Talleres de Cordoba
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Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X270.2%
Both teams to score
No57.9%
Totals 2.5
Under66.0%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X61.7%
1268.0%
X270.2%
Both teams to scoreYes/No42.1% / 57.9%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 86.4% / 13.6%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 62.0% / 38.0%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 34.0% / 66.0%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 15.4% / 84.6%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 5.8% / 94.2%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 1.9% / 98.1%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza × CA Talleres de Cordoba
HomeAway
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 13.6%
0:1 13.2%
0:2 7.9%
0:3 2.9%
0:4 0.8%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 11.1%
1:1 14.3%
1:2 7.5%
1:3 2.8%
1:4 0.8%
1:5 0.2%
2
2:0 5.7%
2:1 6.4%
2:2 3.5%
2:3 1.3%
2:4 0.4%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 1.8%
3:1 2.0%
3:2 1.1%
3:3 0.4%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 0.4%
4:1 0.5%
4:2 0.3%
4:3 0.1%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.1%
5:1 0.1%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.3%
0:013.6%
0:113.2%
1:011.1%
0:27.9%

Other matches

→ Primera LPF, Clausura

About the method

Prediction questions

We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.

Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.

The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.

AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.

18+ All materials are informational and do not guarantee any outcome. Predictions are produced by an automated model; the method is described on the Method page. Responsible gambling