Match intelligence

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza — CA Talleres de Cordoba: Win probabilities, 18.08.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza3
:
1CA Talleres de Cordoba
Locked signal X2 Probability 68.8% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 31.2% Home win Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
X 32.9% Draw
W2 35.9% Away win CA Talleres de Cordoba
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X268.8%
Both teams to score
No58.8%
Totals 2.5
Under67.2%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X63.7%
1267.5%
X268.8%
Both teams to scoreYes/No41.2% / 58.8%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 85.7% / 14.3%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 60.8% / 39.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 32.8% / 67.2%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 14.6% / 85.4%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 5.4% / 94.6%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 1.7% / 98.3%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza × CA Talleres de Cordoba
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 14.3%
0:1 13.1%
0:2 7.4%
0:3 2.6%
0:4 0.7%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 11.8%
1:1 14.5%
1:2 7.1%
1:3 2.5%
1:4 0.7%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 6.1%
2:1 6.5%
2:2 3.4%
2:3 1.2%
2:4 0.3%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 2.0%
3:1 2.1%
3:2 1.1%
3:3 0.4%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 0.5%
4:1 0.5%
4:2 0.3%
4:3 0.1%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.1%
5:1 0.1%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.5%
0:014.3%
0:113.1%
1:011.8%
0:27.4%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 18.08.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 09.08.2026 away Instituto 0:1
  • 01.08.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 2:0
  • 28.07.2026 away San Lorenzo 0:1
  • 24.07.2026 home Central Cordoba 1:0
  • 04.05.2026 home Defensa y Justicia 2:1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 12.08.2026 home Lanus 0:3
  • 03.08.2026 away Platense 4:0
  • 30.07.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 1:3
  • 25.07.2026 away Newells Old Boys 0:1
  • 09.05.2026 home Belgrano 0:1

This season: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza at home vs CA Talleres de Cordoba away

Metric Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza · at home CA Talleres de Cordoba · away
Matches1011
W–D–L6–1–34–4–3
Goals scored per match1.201.09
Goals conceded per match0.800.82
Over 2.5 goals30%36%
Both teams scored40%45%

Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza wins0
Draws0
CA Talleres de Cordoba wins1
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored1/1
Over 2.5 goals1/1
  • 14.02.2026 CA Talleres de Cordoba 2:1 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and CA Talleres de Cordoba appear evenly matched heading into this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture. The available indicators point toward a cautious contest in which neither side has a clear overall advantage. With moderate confidence, the most balanced reading is that the match could remain close for long periods, with the visitors avoiding defeat representing a slight lean rather than a firm prediction.

The expected pattern is low-scoring, and a clean sheet is considered likely. That makes defensive organisation and the handling of limited chances especially important, while an open exchange of attacks appears less likely. The scorelines that best fit this assessment are 0:0, 1:1 and 0:1, all suggesting a narrow margin or no margin at all. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza will look to make home advantage count, while CA Talleres de Cordoba have a slight edge in the outcome range that includes either a draw or an away win.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Clausura round 5 fixture in Mendoza

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza host CA Talleres de Córdoba on August 18, 2026, at Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie in Round 5 of the Argentine Primera División Clausura.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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